Arizona will get more heat before the rain showers and thunderstorms this week

According to the Arizona Weatherman, another heatwave will occur Tuesday through Thursday, 10-13 Jun 2024. Then, a cut-off low will eject over the state late Thursday into the evening through Friday, 14 Jun 2024. This low has the potential to drop some rain and isolated thunderstorms across the state.

Upper-level model data of longwave ridge over Arizona and cut-off low to the southwestPhoto byWindy.com

The heatwave, is a result of longwave ridging over the state and a cut-off low developing to the southwest of Arizona in the upper levels, is set to make its presence felt. This pattern will produce high temperatures that max out on Thursday. Be prepared for near-to-equivalent record high temperatures throughout the state, including a high temperature of 113 F for Phoenix on Thursday, which will be within one degree of the climatological high of 114 F. For Tucson, expect 111 F and a Flagstaff high of 90 F.

Model data on Friday indicating rain showers over ArizonaPhoto byWindy.com

From Thursday late afternoon through Friday, expect that cut-off low to move over the state and bring rain showers and thunderstorms, predominantly to the northern section of the state. The showers will move from the west toward the eastern part of Arizona going into Friday. There appears to be a better chance of rain actually hitting the ground than last week, but it is still not likely to get a whole lot of precipitation accumulation on the ground. There is also the potential for isolated thunderstorms with this system, but severe thunderstorms are less likely. However, convective gusty winds of 35-50 mph are a possibility.

Source: The Arizona Weatherman, a seasoned meteorologist with over 25 years of experience in aviation meteorology with the United States Air Force, government contracting, and private practice, provides this forecast. His experience training Special Operations Weather Technicians (SOWT) in weather techniques and his state certification as a STEM teacher further underscore his expertise. His weather predictions are trustworthy.

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