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  • Arizona Weatherman

    Arizona monsoon thunderstorms continue the next few days and taper over the holiday weekend

    2024-07-02

    According to the Arizona Weatherman, the next few days will have some good monsoon thunderstorms and the potential for severe weather due to winds, hail, and flooding. However, going into the 4th of July weekend, expect a diminishing amount of convective activity.

    https://img.particlenews.com/image.php?url=2vakeR_0uAezJEH00
    Model data for thunderstorms for Monday 1 Jul 2024.Photo byWindy.com

    Today, Monday, 1 Jul 2024, expect a continuation of thunderstorm activity in the state, especially in the southern, eastern, and Mogollon Rim sections. This convective activity may have areas of isolated severe parameters such as winds >60 mph, hail up to one inch, and localized flooding, primarily for Pima, Santa Cruz, Cochise, Pinal, and Graham Counties. The author also expects more isolated thunderstorms up on the Mogollon Rim, particularly for Gila, Navajo, and Apache counties. This activity will be most prevalent between 1 pm and 8 pm today.

    Expect this monsoon thunderstorm activity to continue into the 2nd and 3rd of July. Going into Tuesday, remnants of Tropical Storm Chris is looking to add some moisture for Eastern Arizona, but this thunderstorm activity will begin to taper off on the 3rd of July. On the 4th of July in Arizona, it looks like the spigot of monsoon moisture has been cut off, with the exception of the very southern areas of the state. An upper-level ridge moves in from the west and provides a northwesterly flow.


    Source: The Arizona Weatherman, a seasoned meteorologist with over 25 years of experience in aviation meteorology with the United States Air Force, government contracting, and private practice, provides this forecast. His experience training Special Operations Weather Technicians (SOWT) in weather techniques and his state certification as a STEM teacher further underscore his expertise. His weather predictions are trustworthy.

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    Arizona Weatherman
    07-07
    Verification after the 3rd of July, thunderstorm activity did diminish very much throughout the state on the 4th through the 7th of July.
    Arizona Weatherman
    07-02
    1 Jul 2024 verification: The thunderstorms kicked off a little earlier than originally anticipated, more like 11 a.m. instead of 1 p.m., but they were more isolated and less severe than yesterday. This was anticipated; there were about 3 or so WWAs from the NWS in my forecast area and one observed 62 mph wind between 11 a.m. and 5 p.m. However, the area covered was a wider area and in line with my forecast. Overall, it was a good forecast for today.
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