Padres Game Preview: San Diego vs Mariners, September 11, 2024 - Odds, Predictions and More

In this matchup between the Padres vs Mariners , both teams come into Wednesday's game looking to secure crucial victories in the closing stretch of the 2024 MLB season. The San Diego Padres (82-64) are fighting for a playoff spot, while the Seattle Mariners (73-72) are trying to finish their season strong, hoping to keep their slim postseason chances alive. With two top-tier pitchers on the mound, Bryan Woo for the Mariners and Michael King for the Padres, this game promises to be a low-scoring affair.

How to Watch

• Date: September 11, 2024
• Time: 6:40 pm PT
• Location: T-Mobile Park (Seattle, Washington)
• T.V.: Fox Sports 1, MLB Extra Innings, Root Sports Northwest, AFN
• Streaming: Fubo, MLB.TV
• Radio: KWFN 97.3, XEMO 860

Odds

• Moneyline: Padres -110 | Mariners -110
• Spread: Padres +1.5 (-240) | Mariners -1.5 (+196)
• Total: Over/Under (7)
  • Padres: Over (+100)
  • Mariners: Under (-120)
• Odds found at Caesars Sportsbook .

Betting Analysis

Both teams come in evenly matched with identical moneyline odds of -110, signaling a tight contest. The spread favors the Padres at +1.5 (-240), while the Mariners’ odds to cover -1.5 sit at a higher payout of +196, reflecting confidence in a close game. The over/under is set at seven, which, given the elite pitching on both sides, could be a solid marker for those considering backing the under (-120).

For bettors interested in player props, Fernando Tatis Jr. could be a strong consideration given his recent performance at the plate, including a home run and three RBIs in Tuesday’s game. Additionally, Cal Raleigh’s power-hitting (29 home runs) for the Mariners makes him a potential target for prop bets in the home run market.

Predictions

Both teams boast elite pitching in this matchup, with Bryan Woo of the Mariners holding a stellar 2.36 ERA and Michael King of the Padres close behind with a 2.99 ERA. In Woo's last outing, he gave up just two runs over five innings, and King limited the Giants to one run in his previous start. The offensive struggles for both teams also suggest a low-scoring game, with the Padres averaging 4.76 runs per game and the Mariners at 4.08.

Given these factors, it's likely that both teams will find it tough to score. The game will likely be a close, low-scoring affair that stays under the projected total of seven runs.

Score Prediction: Padres 3, Mariners 2.

More Insights

The Padres have been relying heavily on stars like Fernando Tatis Jr. , who hit a home run and drove in three RBIs in Tuesday’s game. Manny Machado has also been key with 25 home runs and 90 RBIs this season. Meanwhile, the Mariners have leaned on Cal Raleigh , who’s hit 29 homers and driven in 90 RBIs.

Despite their struggles on offense, the Mariners boast the best pitching staff in the league, giving up only 3.77 runs per game. This could spell trouble for the Padres, who will have to bring their A-game to get past Woo and the Mariners' bullpen.

Back the under and expect a pitcher’s duel at T-Mobile Park on Wednesday.