Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

The Texas Rangers (37-46) and Baltimore Orioles (53-30) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-0

The Rangers have lost 6 consecutive games, including the 1st 3 outings in this series. Texas was blown out 11-2 on Thursday, but the past 2 games have each been losses by 1 run apiece. The Over is 2-1 in the first 3 games of this series.

The Orioles are aiming for the 4-game sweep. It hasn’t been long since the most recent 4-game sweep, as Baltimore took all 4 games against AL East Division rival Tampa Bay at Tropicana Field from June 7-10.

The Over (9.5) cashed on Saturday in the 6-5 victory, and the Over and Under have alternated in the past 9 games since June 21.

Rangers at Orioles projected starters

LHP Andrew Heaney vs. LHP Cole Irvin

Heaney (2-9, 4.17 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 77 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 3-1 road setback vs. Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday
• 2023 road splits: 1-4, 3.53 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.48 WHIP, .285 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 6 HR, 13 BB, 42 K in 9 starts
• Career vs. Orioles: 2-3, 7.63 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.57 WHIP, 13 HR, 5.3 K/9 in 6 start and 1 relief appearance

Irvin (6-4, 3.74 ERA) makes his 14th start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 77 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 8 R (4 ER), 10 H (1 HR), 0 BB, 1 K in 10-8 home setback vs. Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
• 2024 home splits: 3-3, 3.38 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.37 WHIP, .293 OBA, 4 HR, 8 BB, 34 K in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance
• Career vs. Rangers: 4-2, 3.04 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 1 HR, 7.4 K/9 in 8 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rangers at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rangers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Orioles -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-150) | Orioles -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Rangers at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Rangers 4

The ORIOLES (-160) are a little on the pricey side, but they’re a good play against the southpaw Heaney, who has been extremely shaky this season, especially on the road.

The Rangers (+135) can’t be trusted, having dropped the first 3 in this series, and 6 in a row.

If you like to play in safe, back Baltimore straight up behind Swervin’ Cole Irvin.

The ORIOLES -1.5 (+125) are worth playing on the run line if you’re a little less conservative.

Baltimore has won the past 2 days by a single run each, so be careful. However, in the past 26 wins since May 17, the O’s have won by 2 or more runs in 23 of those outings. So, if you like Baltimore to win, you should like it to get the job done laying the run and a half.

OVER 9.5 (+100) is worth a look at even-money, but go lightly.

The Over-Under has alternated in the past 9 games for the O’s. The total has gone high at a 4-1-1 clip in the past 6 starts by Irvin, too.

For the Rangers, the Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games. However, be careful, as the Under is actually 6-0 in Heaney’s past 6 starts. It’s more due to a lack of run support rather than anything special the veteran southpaw is doing.

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