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Baltimore Orioles at Oakland A's odds, picks and predictions
By Corey Scott,
1 day ago
The Baltimore Orioles (55-32) and Oakland A’s (33-56) open a 3-game set at Oakland Coliseum Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. A’sodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: A’s lead 2-1
The Orioles won 2 of 3 games at the Seattle Mariners Tuesday through Thursday, losing 7-3 as -145 favorites in the finale as the Over (7) hit. Baltimore is 6-2 in its last 8 games, with 4 of those wins coming by multiple runs.
The A’s are coming off a 3-game sweep of the Los Angeles Angels, winning 5-0 as -111 home favorites Thursday as the Under (9) cashed. Oakland has not won 4 straight since a 6-game winning streak April 28-May 4.
Orioles at A’s projected starters
RHP Albert Suárez vs. LHP Hogan Harris
Suárez (4-2, 2.43 ERA) makes his 11th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 59 1/3 IP.
Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 2-1 home victory vs. Texas Rangers June 28
2024 road stats: 2-2, 3.38 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 5 starts and 4 relief appearances
2024 vs. A’s: 0-0, 9.00 ERA (4 IP, 4 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 7-6 home loss April 28
Career vs. A’s: 0-0, 6.39 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.58 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)
Harris (1-2, 3.18 ERA) makes his 7th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 39 2/3 IP.
Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 3-0 setback at Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
2024 home stats: 1-1, 3.22 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 5.2 K/9 in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
Never faced Orioles before
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Orioles -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | A’s +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (-115) | A’s +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Orioles at A’s picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, A’s 4
The Orioles (-190) will likely win with their advantage at starting pitcher, but it’s a losing proposition long term to lay -180 or more while betting into 35-cent lines.
PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.
Plus odds on the run line would’ve been nice, but the Orioles -1.5 (-115) are still okay to bet at this number. Baltimore is an MLB-best 50-37 on the run line this season, according to Teamrankings.com, and is in a good spot to bounce back facing the worst team in the AL West.
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (-115).
The Over is 16-8-3 (66.7%) this season when the Orioles are away favorites and 16-10-5 (61.5%) when they’re coming off a loss. Harris allowed 10 hits against the Diamondbacks Saturday and was lucky to only give up 3 ER; it’s unlikely that he stays that lucky against Baltimore.
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