Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays (48-56) and Baltimore Orioles (61-43) meet Monday as they swing into a 4-game series, beginning with a twin bill at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The opening contest is set for a 3:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

Toronto is 5-4 in the 2nd half and is on the road for the 1st time since July 14. The Blue Jays arrive in Baltimore with a 3-game win streak in tow after sweeping the Texas Rangers over the weekend. Toronto clocked a high-contact .957 OPS over that trio of wins.

The AL East-leading Orioles have been on a slide. Baltimore is 2-5 over its last 7 games and 5-10 since July 9. Across their last 9 games at Camden Yards, the Orioles have a 2-7 record while posting a 5.67 ERA.

Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Yariel Rodriguez vs. RHP Zach Eflin

Rodriguez (1-3, 3.60 ERA) is making his 11th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 40 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-3 win vs. Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
• Has made 4 starts since July 1, posting a 2.01 ERA in 22 1/3 IP
• Has never faced the Orioles

Eflin (5-7, 4.09 ERA) makes his 20th start. He owns a 1.16 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 110 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-3 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-3, 5.90 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 50 H, 9 BB, 32 K in 5 starts
• Making 1st start for Baltimore after being acquired from the Rays on Friday. Coincidentally, his last start with Tampa was against Toronto

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:24 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Blue Jays +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Orioles -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-125) | Orioles -1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Blue Jays 4

Toronto is 6-13 across its last 19 games against the Orioles.

In scoring 4.06 runs per game while allowing 4.75 RPG, the Blue Jays have likely been a bit fortunate to post a .467 win percentage to date. Rodriguez has gotten by with a .267 batting average on balls in play and is a bounce candidate.

In multiple parks over his career, Eflin has posted solid numbers at home. Over his 9-year career, he’s allowed a .796 OPS on the road but has held opposing bats to a .686 mark in games at home.

Since June 3 Toronto has played in 15 series. They have dropped 13 series lid-lifters over that stretch.

The price on the O’s makes for a high hurdle, but there is value on BALTIMORE (-190).

Four of 6 series meetings this season have been decided by 1 run, and the Jays have trended toward a lot of close games of late. But some bettors may want to avoid the ML price tag and back BALTIMORE -1.5 (+105).

The Over has cashed in 5 straight Toronto games and in 7 of its last 8 contests on the road. And the Over is 6-for-6 in Baltimore’s last half-dozen games.

It’s just a slight lean here, but the Over is 3-1 across the last 4 Toronto-Baltimore games, and on a warm day with an outward breeze in the forecast and 2 fly-ball pitchers starting, the OVER 9 (-105) is the value play.

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