Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

The Boston Red Sox (48-39) and New York Yankees (54-36) meet for game 2 of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Boston leads 3-1

Boston rallied for a 5-3 victory in 10 innings in Friday’s opener, covering as a +122 road underdog. DH Masataka Yoshida hit a game-tying, 2-run HR with 2 outs in the top of the 9th to stun the Yankee Stadium crowd. After a New York 1-2-3 bottom of the 9th, Boston SS Ceddanne Rafaela led off the 10th with a 2-run blast — remember each team gets a runner on 2nd in extra innings.

Yankees RF Juan Soto opened the bottom of the 10th with a single, moving the “extra-inning” runner to 3rd, but Red Sox closer Kenley Jansen retired the next 3 batters to finish off Boston’s come-from-behind victory and its 5th straight win. Meanwhile, New York suffered its 4th consecutive loss — which all occurred at home.

While it wasn’t really a bad beat since the Over/Under (8) pushed, it was a tough pill to swallow for Under bettors who were 1 out away from cashing a winning ticket.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Josh Winckowski vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Winckowski (2-1, 2.80 ERA) makes his 5th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 35 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 4-1 home victory vs. San Diego Padres Sunday
• Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 6.52 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 9 H, 8 BB, 5 K across 2 starts and 3 relief appearances

Cole (1-1, 6.23 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 13 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 8-1 win at Toronto Blue Jays Sunday
• Career vs. Red Sox (regular season): 7-5, 4.68 ERA (98 IP, 51 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 17 starts, including 0-2, 7.20 ERA (10 IP, 8 ER), 3 HRs in 2 starts last season

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:19 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -185 (bet 185 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-145) | Yankees -1.5 (+120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Yankees 4

PASS.

I like the Red Sox (+150) to cover with an outright win as underdogs. However, with Cole on the mound for the Yankees — even though he lost his last 2 outings vs. Boston — I prefer to play the Red Sox run line below.

BET RED SOX +1.5 (-145).

Boston has won 3 straight vs. New York and enters as the hotter team, being 7-3 in its last 10 overall games. The Yankees are 2-8 in their last 10.

Plus, the Red Sox are also 5-0 in their last 5 visits to the Bronx — and 6-1 in their last 7 there.

I would completely understand if you prefer Boston’s +150 moneyline. My suggestion is just don’t bet more than 1½ units between the 2 options — Boston’s ML and Boston’s RL.

BET OVER 9 (-110).

The Over is 3-0-1 Boston’s last 4 games and is 8-1-1 in its last 10. The Over is also 8-1-1 in the Yankees’ last 10 outings and is 3-0-2 in the last 5 Boston-New York matchups.

Let’s ride that Over train — OVER 9 (-110) is the way to go.

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