New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

The New York Yankees (60-45) and Boston Red Sox (55-47) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 5-2

A 3-run 470-foot blast from DH Aaron Judge was spectacular to watch but not enough for the Yankees to overcome the Red Sox Friday night. New York also got solo shots from SS Anthony Volpe and C Austin Wells, but it was RHP Clay Holmes that was saddled with his 7th blown save of the season after allowing 3 runs in the 8th inning. The Yankees are 33-22 on the road this season and 54-51 against the spread (ATS) overall.

The Red Sox overcame the monstrous homer from Judge to beat the Yankees 9-7 Friday night. RF Rob Refsnyder went 3-for-4 an RBI double and 2 runs scored, and SS Ceddanne Rafaela hit his 12th home run of the season. The big hit came in the 8th inning from DH Masataka Yoshida with a 2-run single. Boston is 25-25 at home this season and 47-55 ATS overall.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Stroman (7-5, 3.51 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 110 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 2 R (3 ER), 5 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home defeat against Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
• 2024 road splits: 5-1, 2.50 ERA (54 IP, 19 R (15 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 4.7 K/9 in 10 starts
• Last start vs Red Sox: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 9-3 road loss on June 16

Crawford (6-8, 3.37 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 117 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 9-6 loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
• 2024 home splits: 3-5, 3.66 ERA (59 IP, 29 R (24 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 10 starts
• 2024 vs Yankees: 2-0, 2.08 ERA, 13 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 13 K in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:00 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Yankees -1.5 (+146) | Red Sox +1.5 (-176)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Yankees 5

BET RED SOX (-118).

The Yankees have dropped 3 in a row and 5 of their last 6. Boston has won 2 of its last 3 and came back to beat New York in Game 1 of this series. I’m going to ride the Red Sox momentum Saturday evening.

Crawford has looked terrific in both starts against the Yankees this season. No one in the Yankees lineup with 6 or more at-bats against him has an average over .200. Judge has 2 homers, but he has also struck out 9 times in 18 plate appearances.

Stroman has hit a rough patch. He’s 0-2 over his last 4 starts, allowing 12 runs over 19 innings pitched.

PASS.

I’ve got my money on the moneyline, and I’ll stay away from the run line.

PASS.

I don’t like anything about this total, which is why I’m going to pass. In their last 10 head-to-head meetings, they are 5-3-2 against the Over.

New York is 6-4 against the Over and Boston is 5-5 over its last 10 games. There are just some trends to give me a sense of how this game will go. I’ll keep my focus on the moneyline in this game.

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