Mortgage Interest Rates Today, September 6, 2024 | Rates Keep Dropping in Response to Cooler Labor Market Data

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• Mortgage rates for September 6, 2024, are near 5.80%, down from last week.
• Rates have been decreasing for several months now as inflation slows and the economy cools.
• Rates are expected to keep going down this year and in 2025.

Mortgage rates have been steadily dropping for four months now, and it looks like they could trend even lower in September. Rates on the most popular 30-year fixed-rate mortgage are now below 6% for the first time since early 2023, according to Zillow data.

Rates have inched down this week in response to new data suggesting that the labor market may be cooling faster than anticipated. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey , released Wednesday, showed that job openings fell below expectations in July. And on Thursday, private sector payroll data from ADP also came in weaker than expected .

If incoming data continues to show signs of cooling, it's possible the Federal Reserve could opt for a larger rate cut at its meeting later this month. Right now, traders are betting that the Fed will lower the federal funds rate by a quarter of a percentage point at its September meeting. But if the labor market weakens further, the central bank could decide to cut rates by half a point. If that happens, we could see mortgage rates drop more substantially soon.

What Are Today's Mortgage Rates?

What Are Today's Refinance Rates?

Mortgage Calculator

Use our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments.

By clicking on "More details," you'll also see how much you'll pay over the entire length of your mortgage, including how much goes toward the principal vs. interest.

Current 30-Year Mortgage Rates

Average 30-year mortgage rates are down slightly today, and are hovering in the upper 5% range. Rates have been dropping for several months now, and they averaged around 6.05% in August.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the most popular home loan. With this type of mortgage , you'll pay back what you borrowed over 30 years, and your interest rate won't change for the life of the loan.

The lengthy 30-year term allows you to spread out your payments over a long period of time, meaning you can keep your monthly payments lower and more manageable. The trade-off is that you'll have a higher rate than you would with shorter terms, like a 15-year mortgage.

Current 15-Year Mortgage Rates

Average 15-year mortgage rates have inched down this week and are hovering in the low 5% range, according to Zillow data. In August, 15-year rates averaged 5.38%, but they've been trending lower so far this month.

If you want the predictability that comes with a fixed rate but are looking to spend less on interest over the life of your loan, a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage might be a good fit for you. Because these terms are shorter and have lower rates than 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, you could potentially save tens of thousands of dollars in interest. However, you'll have a higher monthly payment than you would with a longer term.

Current Mortgage Refinance Rates

Refinance rates have also been lower in September. Last month, 30-year refinance rates averaged 6.59%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.90%. But they're currently trending around a half-point lower for both term lengths.

How Much Do Mortgage Rates Need to Drop to Refinance?

If you're wondering if you should refinance now that mortgage rates have dropped a bit, you'll need to crunch the numbers to see if it makes sense. Some experts advise only refinancing if you can reduce your rate by a percentage point or more, but it really comes down to whether it works for your individual circumstances.

If you can save enough each month by refinancing that you can recoup your costs in a reasonable amount of time, it might be worth it. You can calculate this by dividing your closing costs by the amount you're saving on your monthly mortgage payment . So, if you paid $3,000 to refinance and were able to lower your monthly payment by $200, it would take you 15 months to break even on your refinance.

5-Year Mortgage Rate Trends

Here's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.

What Factors Influence Mortgage Rates?

Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates , the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

While many of these factors are out of your control, you can work on improving your credit score , paying off debt, and saving for a larger down payment to ensure you get the best rate possible.

How Does the Fed Rate Affect Mortgage Rates?

The Fed increased the federal funds rate dramatically in 2022 and 2023 to try to slow economic growth and get inflation under control. Inflation has since slowed significantly, but it's still a bit above the Fed's 2% target rate.

Mortgage rates aren't directly impacted by changes to the federal funds rate, but they often trend up or down ahead of Fed policy moves. This is because mortgage rates change based on investor demand for mortgage-backed securities, and this demand is often impacted by how investors expect Fed policy to affect the broader economy.

Fed officials have indicated that they will likely start cutting rates soon. This should help mortgage rates to trend down in the coming months.

Will Mortgage Rates Drop in September 2024?

It's possible that mortgage rates will drop in September. Rates have been trending down for several months as the economy cools and the Fed gears up to start cutting the federal funds rate. At its meeting later this month, the central bank is expected to lower rates by at least a quarter point.

Because markets are already anticipating that the Fed will lower rates, mortgage rates might not drop much in response to a Fed rate cut. But if incoming data suggests that the economy is weakening, mortgage rates could fall more substantially — especially if the data pushes the Fed to make a larger half-point cut.

How Low Will Mortgage Rates Go?

Mortgage rates are unlikely to drop back down to the historic lows of 2020 and 2021, when 30-year fixed rates fell below 3%. But rates are expected to continue to ease throughout the next year or two, and it's possible rates could ultimately settle in closer to 5% in a few years.

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025?

Most major forecasts expect mortgage rates to go down throughout 2025 as the Fed continues to lower its benchmark rate. But because mortgage rates are influenced by the economy, this forecast could change depending on how the economy evolves in 2025.