USA vs. France prediction, odds, time: 2024 Paris Olympics women's basketball gold-medal game expert picks

The United States of America and France match up in the women's gold medal basketball game at the 2024 Paris Olympics on Sunday. In the semifinals, Team USA beat Australia en route to an 85-64 win. On the other side, France outmatched Belgium 81-75 in overtime. The Americans are 3-0 against France in women's basketball at the Olympics, with their last win coming in group play at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.

Tipoff is at 9:30 a.m. ET in Paris, France. The United States is 16-point favorite in the latest USA vs. France odds, while the over/under for total points is 157. Before making any France vs. Team USA picks or 2024 Paris Olympics women's basketball predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's Calvin Wetzel has to say .

Wetzel, HerHoopStats.com's lead betting writer, incorporates his mathematical background and strong knowledge of women's hoops to turn the site's prediction model into picks. After teaming up with Aaron Barzilai, a Ph.D. from Stanford, Wetzel is an incredible 1,385-988 (+372.33 units) on women's college basketball picks since the start of the 2021-22 season. He's also coming off a great 2023 season with a 238-185-1 overall record that featured a return on investment of nearly 7%. Anyone following him has seen huge returns.

Now, Wetzel has broken down Team USA vs. France from every angle and just revealed his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks . Here are the lines and trends for France vs. Team USA:

• Team USA vs. France spread: United States -16
• Team USA vs. France over/under: 157 points
• Team USA vs. France money line: United States -1800, France +850
• USA: Team USA is averaging 47.4 rebounds per game in the Olympics
• FRA: They average 12 steals per game
• Team USA vs. France picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Team USA can cover

The United States has been dominant in this tournament for years now. The Americans have continued their excellence in Paris and are rolling into this gold-medal game on fire. In the the semifinal round win over Australia, they had an abundance of players who were ready to step up with four players scoring in double figures.

Guard Jackie Young was recently put into the starting lineup and she has thrived. The 26-year-old has three straight games scoring in double figures. In Friday's win, Young had 14 points, five assists and two steals. Forward Napheesa Collier has also been an active presence in the frontcourt. Collier put up eight points, five rebounds and three assists in her last contest. See picks at SportsLine .

Why France can cover

France has won four of its five games in the Paris Olympics. The French finished third in the 2020 Tokyo Olympics and are looking to steal gold for the Americans. Forward Gabby Williams is reliable and effective in the frontcourt. Williams owns great instincts and uses her quickness to win in the pick and roll. She leads the team in points (14.8) and assists (5.4) with 4.2 rebounds per game.

The 27-year-old racked up 18 points, three rebounds and four assists in her last game. She totaled 14-plus in four straight games. Guard Marine Johannes is a smooth three-level scorer. Johannes creates off the dribble with ease and uses her floater to attack defenders. The 29-year-old puts up 12.2 points and 2.4 assists per game. In the quarterfinal win over Germany, she recorded 24 points and hit five threes. See the picks at SportsLine .

How to make France vs. Team USA picks

Wetzel has analyzed USA vs. France from every angle, and he's leaning Under on the point total. He has also found a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine .

So who wins USA vs. France in the gold-medal game of the 2024 Paris Olympics, and what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the expert with a history of crushing his women's basketball picks , and find out.