The 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 will be held on Sunday at 2:30 p.m. ET at Michigan International Speedway and there are only three races remaining until the start of the NASCAR Playoffs. Austin Dillon thought he punched his ticket into the postseason with a controversial victory in Richmond last weekend, wrecking Joey Logano and spinning out Denny Hamlin on the final lap to take the checkered flag. However, Austin was stripped of his postseason ticket this week. Hamlin and Kyle Larson are the 6-1 co-favorites in the 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds, followed by Ryan Blaney (13-2) and Tyler Reddick in the 2024 NASCAR at Michigan odds.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
It called its first winner of the 2024 season with Kyle Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout and predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021, including nine last year and three in the first seven races this season. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
For the second 2024 NASCAR at Michigan race, the model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Elliott is third in the NASCAR standings, but he is only six points behind points leader Kyle Larson, his Hendrick Motorsports teammate, and one point behind Reddick in second.
It has been an impressive rebound season after Elliott missed seven races because of a skiing accident and missed the postseason entirely after failing to record a win in 2023. He finished 36th at Michigan last season after a crash, but had finished 11th or better in 11 of his previous 12 starts on the two-mile oval.
Another massive shocker: Tyler Reddick, one of the Vegas favorites at 7-1, fails to crack the top 10. There are far better values in the 2024 NASCAR Michigan starting lineup. Reddick is surging and he's up to second in the NASCAR standings after a third-place finish in Richmond, his sixth finish of sixth or better in a row.
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