With only three races remaining until the start of the NASCAR playoffs, the NASCAR Cup Series will head to Michigan International Speedway for the 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday. The race begins at 2:30 p.m. ET and is scheduled for 200 laps. Ford has been dominant in Michigan in recent years, winning the last nine races at the two-mile oval. However, Denny Hamlin (Toyota) and Kyle Larson (Chevy) are the 6-1 co-favorites in the 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds.
Meanwhile, defending NASCAR Cup Series champion Ryan Blaney (Ford) is 13-2 in the NASCAR at Michigan odds. Before making any 2024 NASCAR at Michigan predictions, entering any NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model .
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
It called its first winner of the 2024 season with Kyle Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout and predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021, including nine last year and three in the first seven races this season. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
For the second 2024 NASCAR at Michigan race, the model is high on Ty Gibbs, even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Gibbs currently owns a playoff position but his margin for error is shrinking, as he's only 18 points clear of bubble boy Ross Chastain in the NASCAR standings and would be bumped with two more first-time winners over the next three weeks.
The 21-year-old already has a career-high five top-five finishes during the 2024 NASCAR season and he's run well in both of his NASCAR Cup Series starts at Michigan. He finished 10th on the two-mile oval in 2022 and then finished 11th in 2023, leading laps in both races. He was also a winner in Michigan at the 2022 New Holland 250 in the NASCAR Xfinity Series.
Another massive shocker: Tyler Reddick, one of the Vegas favorites at 7-1, fails to crack the top 10. There are far better values in the 2024 NASCAR Michigan starting lineup. Reddick is surging and he's up to second in the NASCAR standings after a third-place finish in Richmond, his sixth finish of sixth or better in a row.
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