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Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts from top-tier NFL model that nailed Jaylen Waddle's rough season
By CBS Sports Staff,
1 day ago
USATSI
CeeDee Lamb enters the 2024 NFL schedule coming off the most productive year of his four-year professional career. The former first-round pick out of Oklahoma exploded for a league-high 135 receptions, 1,749 yards, and 12 touchdowns in 2023 and is now the top player in many 2024 fantasy football WR rankings. Lamb has a 2024 fantasy football ADP of 8.7, placing him solidly in the first round of almost all fantasy drafts. Lamb hasn't missed a game in two seasons, making him one of the reliable 2024 fantasy football picks. Will the 25-year-old build off his stellar 2023 campaign and once again be near the top of the 2024 fantasy football rankings?
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Packers wide receiver Christian Watson. A second-round pick in the 2022 NFL Draft, Watson has flashed dynamic playmaking ability when healthy but he's also battled injuries. He missed three games as a rookie and then followed that up by missing eight games in 2023.
With Watson ailing last season, Jayden Reed emerged as Green Bay's leading receiver and Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks also carved out roles for themselves. Now Green Bay has one of the most exciting young wide receivers rooms in the NFL and that competition for targets is a big reason why the model prefers Diontae Johnson and Keenan Allen over Watson, who is being drafted at least 12 picks earlier on average.
Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans. The former Texas A&M standout has put together a Hall of Fame caliber resume during his NFL career, but may be in for a decline in production in 2024. Evans has gone over 1,000 yards in each of his 10 NFL seasons, and has career totals of 762 receptions, 11,680 yards, and 94 touchdowns.
Evans is currently going off the board in the fourth round on average with an ADP of 37. Players being selected after Evans include DeVonta Smith, Cooper Kupp, Chris Olave, and Davante Adams -- who are all ranked ahead of the 30-year-old in the model's fantasy wide receiver rankings. While Evans will still likely produce at a high level some weeks, there is better value in other players heading into 2024. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here .
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