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Formula 1 picks, odds, time, grid: 2024 Dutch Grand Prix predictions, F1 best bets from proven model
By CBS Sports Staff,
10 hours ago
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The month-long break is over and Formula 1 is back with the 2024 Dutch Grand Prix on Sunday at Circuit Zandvoort roughly 20 miles west of Amsterdam. Max Verstappen has a 78-point lead in the F1 standings but Red Bull Racing was losing momentum heading into the break while McLaren and Mercedes had turned a corner. However, a month to make changes can significantly change the dynamic of an F1 season and, with eight races left, fortunes could change in an instant.
Verstappen is the +180 favorite in the 2024 Dutch Grand Prix odds, while McLaren rival Lando Norris is priced at +200. Norris' teammate Oscar Piastri is listed at +550 and the top five in this week's F1 odds are rounded out by Lewis Hamilton (+800) and George Russell (+900) of Mercedes. The Dutch Grand Prix start time is 9 a.m. ET. Before analyzing the 2024 Dutch Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2024 Dutch GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model .
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of success in motorsports, correctly predicting 19 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.
The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory.
The model followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and then called all seven of the three-time defending champion's wins so far in the 2024 season. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen huge returns.
One surprise: The model is predicting a stunning top-10 finish for Daniel Ricciardo of RB Formula One Team that would pay out +150. The 35-year-old Australian is an eight-time winner in Formula 1 but there were questions about whether or not his career might be over when he found himself without a ride heading into the 2023 season.
However, Ricciardo eventually found himself in a seat at AlphaTauri last season and now that rebranded team is starting to find its footing. After finishing no better than 12th in the first five races of the season, Ricciardo earned five points with a fourth-place finish in the Miami sprint race and has since added points finishes in Canada, Austria and Belgium. He's now up to 13th in the standings and the model is predicting two more points with a ninth-place finish on Sunday. See more 2024 Dutch Grand Prix picks right here .
Max Verstappen +180 Lando Norris +200 Oscar Piastri +5500 Lewis Hamilton +800 George Russell +900 Charles Leclerc +2000 Carlos Sainz +3300 Sergio Perez +4000 Fernando Alonso +25000 Kevin Magnussen +50000 Esteban Ocon +50000 Nico Hulkenberg +50000 Yuki Tsunoda +50000 Alexander Albon +50000 Pierre Gasly +50000 Lance Stroll +50000 Daniel Ricciardo +50000 Valtteri Bottas +100000 Logan Sargeant +100000 Guanyu Zhou +100000
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