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Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts from accomplished NFL model that nailed Jaylen Waddle's rough season
By CBS Sports Staff,
1 day ago
USATSI
Fantasy football injuries are not only a concern for owners during the season, but they should also be monitored during training camp before going on the clock in Fantasy football 2024. Packers rookie MarShawn Lloyd injured his hamstring in the first preseason game, which came after he picked up a hip injury at the start of camp. Lloyd's injury issues could make Fantasy owners feel better about drafting Josh Jacobs, who is in his first season with the franchise. Jacobs went over 95 rushing yards in three of his final five games for the Raiders last year and has topped 1,000 rushing yards in three different seasons, potentially moving up the 2024 Fantasy football rankings.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Steelers running back Najee Harris. The 26-year-old has gone over 1,000 rushing yards in three consecutive seasons, but his 2023 campaign was still a disappointment. He was the RB30, ranking 29th in snap share due to a split workload with Jaylen Warren.
Harris also saw his involvement in the passing game plummet, as he commanded just a 7.9% target share in Pittsburgh's offense. Warren is expected to maintain his role in the backfield, which will limit Harris' Fantasy ceiling yet again. SportsLine's model has identified Harris as a Fantasy football bust, ranking him behind running backs like Rhamondre Stevenson, D'Andre Swift and Aaron Jones.
Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: 49ers tight end George Kittle. Kittle's 12.7 PPR points per game last year was good enough to finish as the sixth-best tight end in Fantasy. However, it was still a six-year low for San Francisco's veteran tight end.
Fantasy owners should also note that Kittle saw a decline in target share last season, averaging 5.6 targets per game. Kittle is among the most entertaining tight ends in the game, but the model doesn't expect he'll live up to his 6th-round ADP in 2024. In fact, the model is projecting Kittle to finish behind both Dalton Kincaid and Evan Engram this season, two TEs that are being drafted at least two rounds later on average. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here .
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