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Fantasy football rankings 2024: Breakouts from longtime NFL model that nailed Jahmyr Gibbs' huge season
By CBS Sports Staff,
11 hours ago
USATSI
Packers quarterback Jordan Love was among the top Fantasy football breakouts a season ago, averaging nearly 20 Fantasy points per game. He recorded over 30 passing touchdowns and finished the season with four rushing scores. The Packers added more weapons on offense for Love this offseason, including running back Josh Jacobs. He has racked up 46 rushing touchdowns in his career, but he finished last season with just six rushing scores, the lowest total of his career. Where will Love and Jacobs land in the 2024 Fantasy football rankings, and which players have the opportunity to vastly outperform their 2024 Fantasy football ADP to become 2024 Fantasy football breakouts?
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs would carry significantly more value than expected during his rookie season. The result: Gibbs rushed for 945 yards and 10 touchdowns while also catching 52 passes for 316 yards and a score. Gibbs was coming off the board in the middle of the fourth round on average but finished as a top-10 running back in CBS Sports PPR leagues.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle. The Cowboys were left with a void in their backfield following the departure of Tony Pollard, but they promptly filled it with Dowdle and Ezekiel Elliott. Dowdle outperformed Pollard in terms of efficiency last season, and he is poised to receive a larger workload this year.
He also offers more than Elliott as a receiver at this stage of their respective careers, which should help compensate for a lack of short-yardage touchdown opportunities. The Cowboys were among the best offenses in the NFL last season, and Dowdle will benefit from their weapons this year. SportsLine's model ranks Dowdle ahead of Elliott, making him a clear breakout candidate.
Another breakout that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Steelers running back Jaylen Warren. Warren had a productive season in 2023 with over 1,000 total yards and four total touchdowns. He was also extremely effective catching the ball, which will be beneficial for Fantasy managers in PPR leagues.
Warren finished last season with 61 receptions on 74 targets, averaging 6.1 yards per reception. His value is higher in PPR, but he can still be a high-end flex in all leagues this year. SportsLine's model recommends drafting Warren ahead of established running backs like Tony Pollard, Austin Ekeler and Gus Edwards. See which other Fantasy football breakouts 2024 to pick here .
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings
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