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Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: NFL sleepers, breakouts, busts from model that called Deebo Samuel's hard year
By CBS Sports Staff,
1 day ago
USATSI
Of the six quarterbacks selected in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft, Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Bo Nix have already been named starters. Meanwhile, Michael Penix Jr. will sit behind Kirk Cousins in Atlanta and J.J. McCarthy is out for the season after tearing his meniscus. That leaves the Patriots with a decision to make on No. 3 overall pick Drake Maye, who is battling veteran journeyman Jacoby Brisset for the starting job in New England. Should any of those 2024 Fantasy football rookie quarterbacks be high up in the 2024 Fantasy football rankings? Where should their pass-catchers like DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, Terry McLaurin, and Courtland Sutton be in the 2024 Fantasy football WR rankings?
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett. The 31-year-old saw his streak of four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and five years with at least eight touchdown receptions snapped last season after catching 79 passes for 894 yards and five touchdowns.
However, he still led Seattle in targets (122) and is an elite route-runner who can still create separation. His average cushion was 6.58 yards in 2023, fifth-best among NFL receivers. Geno Smith saw his completion percentage plummet from 69.8% in 2022 to 64.7% in 2023, but with better target quality, it's possible to see Lockett having another 1,000-yard season in 2024. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here .
Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Giants wide receiver Malik Nabers. The No. 6 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft is coming off back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons to close out his career at LSU. Over three years with the Tigers, Nabers caught 189 passes for 3,003 yards and 21 touchdowns.
He backed that production up by running the 40-yard-dash in 4.35 seconds at the LSU Pro Day and hitting 42 inches in the vertical leap. There are some potential target quality issues with Daniel Jones at quarterback but the model is still expecting Nabers to follow in a long line of great LSU receivers. It ranks Nabers as its WR31 ahead of veterans like Chris Godwin and DeAndre Hopkins. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here .
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. The former Alabama standout is coming off the best season of his NFL career, but the model is calling for a dip in production in 2024. Tagovailoa struggled down the stretch last season, with his second half production paling in comparison to the numbers he put up during the first half of 2023.
Tagovailoa is currently coming off the board in the eighth round on average (94.5 ADP) in CBS Sports fantasy drafts, ahead of guys like Kirk Cousins, Justin Herbert, and Caleb Williams. While he does have one of the top wide receiver duos in the NFL at his disposal in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, there is a significant amount of risk in drafting Tagovailoa. He is in a contract year, the Dolphins are set to play a difficult schedule, and there are always injury concerns for the 26-year-old signal caller. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings
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