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Eagles vs. Packers prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2024 NFL in Brazil picks from model on 181-129 roll
By CBS Sports Staff,
5 days ago
The Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers will play the NFL's first ever game in Brazil on Friday, September 6. Philadelphia is coming off a disappointing second half of the 2023 season, while Green Bay improved throughout the year. Both teams are viewed as NFC title-contenders and are led by star quarterbacks Jalen Hurts and Jordan Love. Packers vs. Eagles is the first meeting between these teams since 2022, when Philadelphia won a 40-33 shootout at home.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It's hard to ignore the late-season collapse by Philadelphia last year, but you also can't dismiss its overall body of work. The Eagles ranked in the top eight in points scored and yards gained, with that side of the ball only getting stronger with the additions of running back Saquon Barkley and receiver Jahan Dotson. The unstoppable "Tush Push" hasn't gone anywhere, and the Eagles upgraded their offensive coordinator by nabbing Kellen Moore, who led Dallas to the No. 1 total offense in two of his four years with the team.
Love emerged over the second half of last year, but he's still inexperienced and also has a losing record (5-7) away from Lambeau Field. The Packers also had the league's fifth-worst run defense last year, which isn't a strong sign against a team that is as run-heavy as the Eagles. Add in that the Packers don't generate turnovers -- they had the second-fewest defensive interceptions in 2023 -- and the Eagles could move the ball up and down the field in Brazil. See who to back at SportsLine .
Why the Packers can cover
Quarterback Jordan Love answered any questions about whether he was fit to be the starter last season, leading Green Bay to a 6-2 finish and a playoff victory. The Packers are ahead of schedule entering their second season without quarterback Aaron Rodgers, notching notable wins over the Lions, Chiefs, Chargers and Cowboys last season. They have a balanced wide receiver room that features Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs and Jayden Reed, making them a difficult offense to prepare for.
The Eagles gave up the second-most passing touchdowns in the NFL last season, and they have an aging secondary. Additionally, Green Bay's rushing attack should improve this season following the addition of running back Josh Jacobs, who is playing behind an offensive line that features some new talent. Jacobs rushed for 1,653 yards and 12 touchdowns in 2022, averaging 4.8 yards per carry. See who to back at SportsLine .
How to make Eagles vs. Packers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 55 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. Head to SportsLine to see its NFL picks .
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