Florida vs. Miami odds, spread, time: 2024 college football picks, Week 1 predictions from proven model

The No. 19 Miami (FL) Hurricanes will open the season with a rivalry game against the Florida Gators on Saturday afternoon. Miami has not visited Gainesville since 2008, and its last win in The Swamp came in 2002. This is the first game of a home-and-home series, as the Gators will visit Miami next season. These teams last met in 2019, when the Gators won a season opener in Orlando.

Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Miami is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Florida vs. Miami odds, while the over/under is 54 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Miami vs. Florida picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Miami (FL)-Florida . You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:

• Florida vs. Miami spread: Miami -2.5
• Florida vs. Miami over/under: 54 points
• Florida vs. Miami money line: Miami -139, Florida +116
• Florida vs. Miami picks: See picks here

Why Florida can cover

Florida desperately needs to get off to a good start this season, as head coach Billy Napier enters the season on the hot seat. The Gators have quarterback Graham Mertz back this year, which gives them an experienced leader running the offense. He threw for 2,903 yards, 20 touchdowns and just three interceptions last season, and limiting mistakes is critical in a season opener.

Senior running back Montrell Johnson Jr . steps into the starting role after backing up Trevor Etienne last season. Johnson rushed for 817 yards and five touchdowns in 2023, while wide receiver Eugene Wilson III returns after catching 61 passes for 538 yards and six scores. Florida is 13-4 in its last 17 home games, and it is 5-2 in its last seven games against ACC opponents. See which team to pick here.

Why Miami can cover

Miami has been getting off to strong starts in recent seasons, going 8-1 in its last nine games in August. The Hurricanes enter the season as a top-25 team with ACC title and College Football Playoff aspirations. They have new quarterback Cam Ward under center, who transferred from Washington State and is a Heisman Trophy candidate.

Ward threw for 3,732 yards and 25 touchdowns last season, completing 66.7% of his passes. He is surrounded by a talented supporting cast, including running back Damien Martinez from Oregon State and returning wide receiver Xavier Restrepo . Florida only covered the spread once in its final five games last season, and it is 3-8 against the spread in its last 11 home games. See which team to pick here.

How to make Florida vs. Miami picks

The model has simulated Miami vs. Florida 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Florida vs. Miami, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Miami vs. Florida spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception , and find out.