Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts by advanced NFL model that nailed Jaylen Waddle's rough season

T.J. Hockenson has been one of the best tight ends in Fantasy football and was second at his position in receiving yards per game (64.0) last year. However, the 27-year-old is expected to start the 2024 NFL season on the PUP list due to a torn ACL suffered late last season. Should you still select Hockenson in Fantasy football 2024 knowing he'll be out for the start of the season? Selecting him with one of your late 2024 Fantasy football picks gives him the potential to become one of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers, but if he's selected too early, he's at risk of becoming one of the 2024 Fantasy football busts. With the emergence of younger tight ends such as Sam LaPorta, Dalton Kincaid and Trey McBride, should you target those options instead in the 2024 Fantasy football rankings? As you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel. The 28-year-old is one of the most dynamic players in the NFL with his ability to change a game by catching passes or taking handoffs. Samuel is coming off a solid season with 60 receptions for 892 yards and seven touchdowns while having 1,117 total yards with 12 total touchdowns and finished as WR15 in Fantasy football last year.

Samuel is going inside the top 12 in 2024 Fantasy football drafts though, which seems to be too high based on his previous production and current projections. The 49ers have one of the best offenses in the NFL but with multiple weapons including Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk (for now, at least), Samuel isn't always the No. 1 or even No. 2 option in the San Francisco weekly game plan. Samuel had fewer than 65 total yards in eight of 15 games last season, often leaving him touchdown-dependent on having a WR1 or high WR2 week. Given his ADP and weekly volatility, the model is avoiding Samuel in 2024 Fantasy football drafts.

Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Packers running back Josh Jacobs. He makes his Packers debut this season after spending his first five seasons with the Raiders and transferring in a new running back isn't always a seamless process. Jacobs has to learn a new system, new offensive line, new coaches and he joins a team that may be pass-heavy with the emergence of Jordan Love last season.

After leading the NFL in rushing (1,653 yards) in 2022, Jacobs rushed for just 805 yards in 13 games last season. His yards per game plummeted from 97.2 to 61.9 last year. The 26-year-old isn't quite in the "old" territory, but a lot of his production with the Raiders came due to high usage. Jacobs averaged at least 17.5 carries in four of his five seasons. Meanwhile, Aaron Jones never averaged more than 15 carries per game over his seven seasons in Green Bay, in large part due to coach Matt Lafleur liking to use multiple running backs. Jacobs' limited usage could hold him back from his current ADP, making him a potential 2024 Fantasy football bust. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here .

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine .

So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023 , and find out.