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Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts from NFL model that predicted Jaylen Waddle's poor season
By CBS Sports Staff,
2 days ago
USATSI
Keenan Allen and Stefon Diggs were target hogs for years with the Chargers and Bills, respectively. However, they're now headed to new teams, potentially moving them down the 2024 Fantasy football rankings. Judging from the Fantasy football 2024 ADP of the wideouts, managers are fading one of the veterans, but are still bullish on the other. Allen's Fantasy football 2024 ADP is outside the top 100 and he will split targets with D.J. Moore and Rome Odunze.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Broncos running back Javonte Williams. In a year after tearing his ACL, Williams accumulated 1,002 total yards and five touchdowns. However, that was due more to a high volume rather than a high efficiency as Williams averaged just 3.6 yards per carry. That ranked 41st out of 48 qualified players as Williams had the 17th most rushing attempts but ranked just 29th in rushing yards.
That type of production won't sit well with Sean Payton, and the Broncos have fortified their backfield in recent years. Last year, rookie Jaleel McLaughlin averaged 5.4 ypc and should be in line for more touches, while the team drafted Audric Estime in the fifth round this year after he ranked third in the nation with 18 rushing TDs a year ago at Notre Dame. Thus, Williams' biggest Fantasy strength, his volume, should decrease, making him a Fantasy football 2024 bust.
Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford . He averaged 264.3 passing yards and 16.9 Fantasy points per game last season, finishing as the QB14 in Fantasy. His owners relied heavily on his yards per attempt (ninth), as he was outside the top 20 in adjusted completion rate and Fantasy points per dropback.
Stafford is entering his age-36 season and has been interception-prone, so he has a shaky outlook compared to other quarterbacks going off the board at a similar ADP. He also offers zero rushing upside, which is an increasingly important factor in Fantasy football. The model has him ranked outside the top 20 at his position, suggesting that you should look elsewhere for your Fantasy quarterback. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here .
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