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Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Sleepers, busts, breakouts by model that nailed Deebo Samuel's tough NFL year
By CBS Sports Staff,
9 hours ago
USATSI
The NFL Draft, schedule release, OTAs, training camps and cut-down day are all in the rearview mirror, so there are no more reasons to wait for 2024 Fantasy football drafts. The 2024 Fantasy football rankings will largely remain static as the season opens with Chiefs vs. Ravens on Thursday. Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, CeeDee Lamb, Tyreek Hill and Bijan Robinson are the top picks in most drafts, according to the latest 2024 Fantasy football ADP. However, there are approximately 15 rounds in most drafts, so setting your 2024 Fantasy football strategy requires plenty of prep.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Bears running back Khalil Herbert. The 26-year-old split time with Roschon Johnson and D'Onta Foreman last year, finishing with 611 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 132 carries. Herbert returns to a backup role this season behind D'Andre Swift, but he still has an opportunity to make a major impact in the offense.
He averaged 77.8 total yards in the eight games when he played at least 43% of the snaps last season, averaging 14 touches in those contests. Herbert ranked 12th in explosive run rate and ninth in missed tackles forced per attempt, giving the Bears plenty of reasons to get him involved in the scheme again in 2024. SportsLine's model has Herbert ranked ahead of seven running backs who are going off the board before him in average Fantasy drafts. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here .
Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels. There was little doubt all offseason that he'd be the starter after Washington took him No. 2 in the 2024 NFL Draft. Head coach Dan Quinn made it official on Aug. 19, making him the first rookie QB starter in Washington since Robert Griffin III in 2012.
The 2023 Heisman Trophy winner will undoubtedly have some growing pains, but SportsLine's model isn't shying away from him as a starting Fantasy option in 2024. Even though the latest ADP shows that Daniels is going off the board around pick No. 95 overall, the model predicts that he'll outperform fourth-rounder C.J. Stroud, sixth-rounder Anthony Richardson, seventh-rounder Kyler Murray and ninth-rounder Tua Tagovailoa. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here .
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. Miami's backfield was one of the biggest Fantasy storylines last year, as Mostert and De'Von Achane combined for nearly 2,000 rushing yards and 26 touchdowns. Mostert was responsible for 1,012 of those yards and 18 rushing touchdowns, finishing as the RB4 in Fantasy football.
It is going to be difficult for him to come anywhere close to those numbers this year, especially as Achane continues to take more touches away from him. Miami's offense was able to spread the wealth around last year, but it is rare for so many players to thrive in Fantasy lineups within the same offense. SportsLine's model thinks there are too many mouths to feed in Miami, ranking Mostert behind running backs like Zack Moss, D'Andre Swift and Rhamondre Stevenson. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings
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