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College football odds, picks, predictions for Week 3, 2024: Proven model backs Ole Miss in best bets
By CBS Sports Staff,
11 hours ago
No. 14 Kansas State trailed Tulane for most of the game last week, but the Wildcats came up with a big play defensively to stay unbeaten and add excitement to their matchup against No. 20 Arizona on Friday during the Week 3 college football schedule. Arizona is coming off wins over New Mexico and Northern Arizona , but it is a 7-point underdog against Kansas State in the Week 3 college football odds. That game is one of two ranked vs. ranked matchups in Week 3, with the other one featuring No. 6 Missouri (-16.5) vs. No. 24 Boston College on Saturday afternoon. Missouri has outscored its first two opponents by a combined score of 89-0 as it continues its four-game homestand.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 4-0 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns!
One of the college football picks the model is high on during Week 3: Washington (-4) covers in its rivalry game at Washington State in a 3:30 p.m. ET matchup on Saturday. The Apple Cup generally takes place the Friday after Thanksgiving to close the regular season, but the state's premier rivalry game was moved to Week 3 this year after Washington left for the Big Ten. The Huskies have dominate this series in recent years, winning nine of the last 10 head-to-head meetings.
Their program is playing under a new coaching staff, but that has not slowed down the momentum they built during their run to the national championship last year. Washington opened the season with a 35-3 win over Weber State before cruising to a 30-9 win over Eastern Michigan last week. Mississippi State transfer quarterback Will Rogers has thrown for 511 yards and five touchdowns through the first two weeks of the season, and he is a big reason why the model has Washington covering the spread in well over 60% of simulations. See the rest of its Week 3 college football picks here.
Another prediction: No. 5 Ole Miss (-23.5) covers the huge spread at Wake Forest in a 6:30 p.m. ET kickoff on Saturday. The Rebels have one of the best offenses in college football, and they have outscored their first two opponents by a combined score of 128-3. Senior quarterback Jaxson Dart's Heisman Trophy campaign is well underway, throwing for 795 yards, six touchdowns and zero interceptions, despite getting to rest down the stretch of both games.
The Rebels also have an elite rushing attack headlined by senior running back Henry Parrish Jr. , who has rushed for 205 yards and four touchdowns on 22 carries. Wake Forest gave up 31 points in a loss to Virginia at home last week, allowing 14 fourth-quarter points after entering the final period with a 30-17 lead. Ole Miss has covered the spread in five of its last six games against ACC opponents, and the model has the Rebels covering almost 60% of the time. See picks for every other game in Week 3 here.
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