Dolphins vs. Bills player props, AI prediction, Thursday Night Football picks: Josh Allen over 236.5 yards
By CBS Sports Staff,
2024-09-11
Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills have proven to be more than just a thorn in the side of Tua Tagovailoa over his career. The reigning passing leader is only 1-6 against Buffalo, with just six touchdown passes across those seven games. Thus, Tagovailoa's player prop for passing touchdowns could be of high interest to anyone betting NFL props for Bills vs. Dolphins on Thursday Night Football. The Dolphins' quarterback passing TDs bar is 1.5, with plus-money prop odds for the Over (+143) and -104 odds for the Under. If Tagovailoa struggles, then it could also affect the NFL props for Dolphins wideouts Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.
Anyone making NFL prop bets on Dolphins vs. Bills (-2.5) on Thursday Night Football would want to know that Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert is out with a chest injury. Fellow Dolphins back De'Von Achane is active despite an ankle injury. Before betting any NFL props for Thursday Night Football or entering NFL predictions on sites like PrizePicks, you need to see the Dolphins vs. Bills NFL prop predictions powered by SportsLine's AI PickBot .
Built using cutting-edge artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques by SportsLine's Data Science team, AI Predictions and AI Ratings are generated for each player prop. The AI predictions are determined by statistically learning from each player's historical data and then quantitatively evaluating the strength of the opponent's defense by assigning a numeric value out of 100 called a matchup score.
Once a prediction is formulated, the AI rating is generated using the prediction, the matchup score, and the odds of the market. Last season, the AI PickBot hit a whopping 1,674 4.5- and 5-star prop picks. Anybody who followed those picks was way up.
After analyzing Bills vs. Dolphins props and examining the dozens of NFL player prop markets, the AI PickBot says Bills quarterback Allen goes over 236.5 passing yards. Allen enters Thursday with a 13-game streak of multiple TD passes versus Miami, which is the longest by any player versus any team in NFL history. That indicates the type of success he's had with his arm against Miami, and he's also racked up the yardage. He's averaged 285.8 passing yards across those 13 starts and has been even more productive as of late.
Over his last five starts against the divisional rival, Allen has averaged 347 passing yards, with at least 304 passing yards in each. Much was made about Buffalo moving on from Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, but that allows Allen to spread the ball around more to Buffalo's pass catchers. Nine different Bills had receptions in Week 1, with eight players drawing multiple targets. That will prevent Miami from keying in on one player, as Allen is forecasted to blow by his prop bet of 236.5 passing yards. AI PickBot is backing the Over (-147), projecting Allen finishes with 281.4 passing yards in a 4.5-star prop bet. See more NFL props here .
How to make NFL player prop bets for Buffalo vs. Miami
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