2024 Week 4 NFL picks, odds, best bets from advanced model: This five-way football parlay pays out 25-1
By CBS Sports Staff,
23 days ago
The Cincinnati Bengals are off to an 0-3 start with two losses as touchdown favorites or more this season. However, oddsmakers are giving the Bengals the benefit of the doubt once again as they visit the Panthers on Sunday. Despite Carolina pulling off a 36-22 upset over the Raiders last week, the Panthers are 4.5-point home underdogs against the Bengals according to the latest Week 4 NFL odds. Both teams are 1-2 against the spread this season, so what gives in this Week 4 NFL matchup and which Week 4 NFL lines should be on your radar as you build your Week 4 NFL parlay picks? Before you make any Week 4 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Chicago Bears (-3, 40.5) to cover at home against the Los Angeles Rams. After investing heavily in their offense this offseason, the Bears haven't seen the results that they'd hoped on that side of the ball but the defense has helped keep things competitive by ranking top 10 in the NFL in points allowed and yards allowed.
Chicago has won six games in a row at home straight up and is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine meetings with the Rams at Soldier Field. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is still dealing with major injury issues. Puka Nacua (knee) and Cooper Kupp (ankle) are both out this week and multiple offensive linemen will also miss this weekend's action, which is a big reason why the model has the Bears covering in nearly 60% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.
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