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Bengals vs. Panthers prediction, odds, spread, start time: 2024 NFL picks, Week 4 best bets from proven model
By CBS Sports Staff,
1 days ago
The Cincinnati Bengals enter Sunday's showdown against the Carolina Panthers still in search of their first victory of the season. The Bengals are coming off a 38-33 defeat to the Washington Commanders on Monday, while the Panthers secured a 36-22 win over the Las Vegas Raiders last Sunday. Veteran quarterback Andy Dalton remains the starter for Carolina after leading the Panthers to last week's win. The Bengals are 9-1 in their last 10 games against an opponent from the NFC, while the Panthers have lost 17 of their past 20 games overall.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 188-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The Bengals suffered a 38-33 upset loss at the hands of the Washington Commanders in Week 3. Despite the loss, quarterback Joe Burrow was excellent. The 2019 Heisman Trophy winner completed 76.3% of his passes for 324 yards and three touchdowns.
All-Pro wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase had his best game of the season as well, catching six passes for 118 yards and two touchdowns. The entire offense benefitted from the return of wide receiver Tee Higgins , who caught three passes for 39 yards. His presence opened things up for Chase and was a big reason why Cincinnati finished the game with 436 total yards. See which team to pick here .
Why the Panthers can cover
The Panthers' 36-22 win over the Las Vegas Raiders was a true team effort, with many players turning in solid performances. Perhaps the best among them was Andy Dalton, who threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns. Dalton took over for Bryce Young , who was benched, and provided the spark Carolina's offense needed to get going.
Dalton spent nine years playing for the Bengals, and he has had a fair amount of success against his former team. Dalton is 2-1 against the Bengals and has thrown four touchdown passes with no interceptions in those three starts. Running back Chuba Hubbard has been solid for the Panthers, and accumulated 169 total yards and a touchdown against the Raiders. See which team to pick here .
How to make Panthers vs. Bengals picks
The model has simulated Panthers vs. Bengals 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine .
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