Tennessee vs. Florida odds, spread, line: 2024 college football picks, Week 7 predictions from proven model
By CBS Sports Staff,
20 hours ago
The No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (4-1) will try to get back on track when they host the Florida Gators (3-2) on Saturday night. Tennessee suffered its first loss of the season last week, falling to Arkansas in a 19-14 final. Florida lost two of its first three games, but it has bounced back with wins over Mississippi State and UCF. The Gators have won 17 of the last 19 meetings between these teams, including a 29-16 win last season.
Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET on Saturday at Neyland Stadium. Tennessee is favored by 14.5 points in the latest Tennessee vs. Florida odds, while the over/under is 57.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Florida vs. Tennessee picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks since inception, and is 8-4 on top-rated picks over the past two weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.
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Why Tennessee can cover
Tennessee's offense failed to showcase its usual explosiveness against Arkansas last week, but the Vols will be happy to return home for the first time in a month. They scored more than 50 points in each of their first three games this season, led by redshirt freshman quarterback Nico Iamaleava . He has completed 66.4% of his passes for 1,048 yards and seven touchdowns while rushing for 134 yards and another score.
Junior running back Dylan Sampson leads the rushing attack with 589 yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging 6.5 yards per carry. Florida lost to Miami and Texas A&M by double digits earlier in the season, and the Gators have only covered the spread three times in their last 10 games. Tennessee is 17-1 in its last 18 home games and has covered the spread in five of its last six games overall. See which team to pick here.
Why Florida can cover
Florida head coach Billy Napier remains on the hot seat, but that situation could change drastically if he can lead the Gators to a win on Saturday. They are coming off back-to-back wins over Mississippi State and UCF, winning both of those games by double digits. Their defense put together a strong showing in the win over the Knights, holding them to just 108 rushing yards while notching five sacks.
Veteran quarterback Graham Mertz completed 19 of 23 passes for 179 yards, while freshman DJ Lagway completed all four of his throws for 50 yards. If the Gators can hold Tennessee's rushing attack in check on Saturday, it will put the pressure on Tennessee's passing attack, which struggled at Arkansas. See which team to pick here.
How to make Tennessee vs. Florida picks
The model has simulated Florida vs. Tennessee 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
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