2024 Week 7 NFL picks, odds, best bets from advanced model: This 5-way football parlay pays 25-1
By CBS Sports Staff,
2 days ago
The San Francisco 49ers will have revenge on their mind when they host the Kansas City Chiefs in a Super Bowl rematch on Sunday during the Week 7 NFL schedule. Kansas City rallied for a 25-22 win over San Francisco for its second straight Super Bowl title last season and has won all five of its games so far this season. The Chiefs are 1.5-point road underdogs in the Week 7 NFL odds, unchanged from the opener, as the 49ers try to build on their double-digit road win over the Seahawks . Should you include the Chiefs or 49ers in your Week 7 NFL parlay picks?
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 11-3 hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 192-132 roll on top-rated NFL sports betting picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 46-24 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up at sportsbooks and sports betting apps .
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Minnesota Vikings (-1.5, 50.5) to cover at home against the Detroit Lions . Minnesota has not only won every game this season, but it has also covered the spread in all five of those victories. The Vikings have already knocked off teams like the 49ers, Texans and Packers, establishing themselves as Super Bowl contenders, and they are rested after having a Week 6 bye.
Veteran quarterback Sam Darnold has completed 63.5% of his passes for 1,111 yards and 11 touchdowns, while running back Aaron Jones has 350 rushing yards on 71 carries. Jones suffered a hip injury in a win over the Jets in Week 5, so the extra week gave him more time to recover. Detroit is on the second leg of back-to-back road games, which is one reason why the model has Minnesota covering the spread in nearly 60% of simulations, winning 26-22. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here .
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