2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds, playoff predictions, lineup, time: Model has surprising South Point 400 picks

The NASCAR playoffs will continue on Sunday when the 2024 South Point 400 is held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The race is scheduled for 267 laps around the 1.5-mile tri-oval and the green flag drops at 2:30 p.m. ET. The playoff field was just cut from 12 drivers to eight and Kyle Larson is the leader in the NASCAR standings after a win last week on the Charlotte Roval. Larson has won the last two races at LVMS and he's the +290 (bet $100 to win $290) favorite in the 2024 South Point 400 odds.

He's followed in the NASCAR at Las Vegas odds by Christopher Bell at +650 and then Denny Hamlin, Tyler Reddick and Ryan Blaney, who are all priced at +800. Before entering any 2024 South Point 400 picks, NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas predictions from SportsLine's proven projection model .

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

It called its first winner of the 2024 season with Kyle Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 betting payout and predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021, including nine last year and three in the first seven races this season. Anyone who followed its lead on betting apps and sportsbooks on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2024 South Point 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Las Vegas leaderboard .

Top 2024 South Point 400 predictions

For the 2024 South Point 400, the model is high on Martin Truex Jr. at +1600 in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Truex's pursuit of a second championship ended last week after a 21st-place finish in Charlotte but he's been solid in Las Vegas of late.

He led four laps and ran seventh in the Pennzoil 400 at LVMS earlier this season and he's had 16 top-10 finishes there in 25 career Cup starts. He won the 2017 Kobalt 400 in Las Vegas and then was a winner again at the 2019 South Point 400.

And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney (+800) stumbles and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in the 2024 NASCAR Las Vegas starting lineup. Blaney ran 10th last week on the Charlotte Roval and enters the Round of 8 sitting fifth in the NASCAR standings.

However, he's winless in 16 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway and hasn't led a lap in his last three starts there despite finishing 13th, sixth and third in those races. He's been outside the top 10 now in three of his last five starts at LVMS and had to finishes outside the top 30 in his last five starts this season. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine .

How to make 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas picks

The model is also targeting two drivers with odds of 16-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine .

So who wins the 2024 South Point 400, and which longshots are must-backs for NASCAR prop bets? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 18 winners, including three already this year .

2024 South Point 400 odds, drivers, lineup

See the full NASCAR at Las Vegas picks at SportsLine .

Kyle Larson +290
Christopher Bell +650
Denny Hamlin +800
Tyler Reddick +800
Ryan Blaney +800
William Byron +850
Kyle Busch +1400
Joey Logano +1600
Chase Elliott +1600
Martin Truex Jr. +1600
Ty Gibbs +1800
Ross Chastain +2000
Alex Bowman +3300
Chris Buescher +3500
Bubba Wallace +3500
Brad Keselowski +3500
Daniel Suarez +10000
Noah Gragson +10000
Austin Cindric +11000
Chase Briscoe +11000
Austin Dillon +15000
Carson Hocevar +20000
Zane Smith +20000
Michael McDowell +20000
Justin Haley +25000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +25000
Erik Jones +25000
Shane Van Gisbergen +25000
Josh Berry +27500
Ryan Preece +30000
Harrison Burton +40000
Todd Gilliland +40000
Jimmie Johnson +50000
Corey Lajoie +50000
Daniel Hemric +50000
John Hunter Nemechek +75000
Cody Ware +250000