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    UCLA at Penn State: Prediction, Odds, Expert Pick

    10 hours ago

    https://img.particlenews.com/image.php?url=0v3ofm_0vuj8DB300

    The UCLA Bruins (1-3) are 28.5-point underdogs in a road Big Ten matchup with the No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0) on Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Beaver Stadium. The point total is set at 46.5.

    The Nittany Lions' last game was versus the Illinois Fighting Illini, and they won by a score of 21-7. Against the Oregon Ducks in their last game, the Bruins lost 34-13.

    Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

    Penn State vs. UCLA Game Information & Odds

    More College Football Predictions

    Penn State vs UCLA Betting Information updated as of October 4, 2024, 2:46 p.m. ET.
    Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
    Penn State -28.5 (-109) -7692 +2063 46.5 -110 -110

    Penn State vs. UCLA Prediction

    • Pick ATS: UCLA (+28.5)
    • Pick OU: Over (46.5)
    • Prediction: Penn State 33, UCLA 14

    Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

    Learn more about the Penn State Nittany Lions vs. the UCLA Bruins game on FOX Sports!

    Pick by FOX Sports Betting Analyst Geoff Schwartz:

    I'll admit it; this wager is a little about me being a stubborn mule.

    UCLA is not good. The Bruins have scored four offensive touchdowns in four games. They are also 128th in points per drive on defense. Yet, they’ve easily covered two straight games against LSU and Oregon , two teams that, on paper, should have blown them out.

    But this week, UCLA should get dominated.

    Penn State ranks 13th in points per drive on offense, with that unit showing a better grasp of how to generate explosive plays than last season. Quarterback Drew Allar is completing 71% of his passes, while the Penn State run game ranks 15th in rushing success rate. The Nittany Lions defense remains one of the best in the country. It ranks third in overall efficiency and 11th in points per drive.

    This game should be 49-7 for Penn State.

    State has the advantage of being at home. UCLA, on the other hand, played its latest game on Saturday night and according to the players' internal body clocks for this week, this is a 9 a.m. matchup for the Bruins. Oh, and it's 2500 miles away. UCLA is beat up, and the quarterback Ethan Garbers is questionable to play.

    UCLA’s in a bad spot this weekend, and I’m going to wager on Penn State because of it.

    PICK: Penn State (-28) to win by more than 28 points

    Penn State vs. UCLA Betting Insights

    Penn State vs. UCLA: 2024 Stats Comparison

    Penn State UCLA
    Off. Points per Game (Rank) 36.3 (53) 14.8 (130)
    Def. Points per Game (Rank) 11.5 (7) 30.8 (91)
    Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (16) 8 (97)
    Turnovers Forced (Rank) 7 (42) 4 (95)

    Penn State 2024 Key Players

    Name Position Stats
    Drew Allar QB 864 YDS (70.9%) / 8 TD / 1 INT
    92 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 23 RUSH YPG
    Nicholas Singleton RB 408 YDS / 3 TD / 102 YPG / 7.7 YPC
    6 REC / 74 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 18.5 REC YPG
    Tyler Warren TE 20 REC / 260 YDS / 2 TD / 65 YPG
    Kaytron Allen RB 289 YDS / 1 TD / 72.3 YPG / 5.5 YPC
    1 REC / 20 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 5 REC YPG
    Abdul Carter DL 14 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK
    Jaylen Reed DB 24 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
    Tony Rojas LB 14 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
    Dani Dennis-Sutton DL 6 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK

    UCLA 2024 Key Players

    Name Position Stats
    Ethan Garbers QB 808 YDS (57.3%) / 3 TD / 6 INT
    Tomarion Harden RB 125 YDS / 1 TD / 31.3 YPG / 3 YPC
    13 REC / 88 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 22 REC YPG
    Rico Flores Jr . WR 12 REC / 187 YDS / 1 TD / 46.8 YPG
    Keegan Jones RB 55 YDS / 0 TD / 13.8 YPG / 5.5 YPC
    5 REC / 60 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15 REC YPG
    Carson Schwesinger LB 17 TKL / 0 TFL
    Ramon Henderson DB 10 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
    Kain Medrano LB 14 TKL / 1 TFL
    K.J. Wallace DB 12 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK

    FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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