Craig, Ayotte Neck-And-Neck in NH Governor Race; Dems Hold Advantage for Congress

DURHAM, NH – Joyce Craig and Kelly Ayotte are tied in the race to replace outgoing Governor Chris Sununu in New Hampshire. Democrat Maggie Goodlander leads Republican Lily Tang Williams in New Hampshire’s Second Congressional District while incumbent Democrat Chris Pappas leads Republican Russell Prescott in the First Congressional District. Likely voters are generally unfamiliar with and don’t understand the proposed constitutional amendment on the ballot in November raising the required judicial retirement age in the state, and very few plan at the moment to vote in favor of it.

These findings are based on the latest Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Overall, 1,803 individuals completed the survey between September 12 and September 16, 2024. One thousand, four hundred and ninety-one (1,491) Granite State Panel members completed the survey online. In addition, 312 New Hampshire residents completed the survey after receiving an invitation via text message to complete the survey online. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2.3 percent. Included in the sample were 1,695 likely general election voters (margin of sampling error +/- 2.4 percent), 854 of whom reside in NH’s 1st Congressional District (MOE +/- 3.4 percent) and 834 reside in NH’s 2nd Congressional District (MOE +/- 3.4 percent).

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