Dodgers vs. Padres: Who is favored to win tonight’s NLDS Game 5?

LOS ANGELES – Friday night’s winner-take-all NL Division Series Game 5 between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers promises to be a thrilling finale to a contentious series between the division rivals.

The Dodgers are the betting favorites, with a strong home record this season of 53-30, including the playoffs.

“Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday’s Padres-Dodgers game 10,000 times,” said Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer at the sports handicapping site, Dimers . “After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Dodgers’ chance of winning is 58%, while the Padres’ is 42%.”

Betting odds favor the Dodgers at -140, while the Padres are +120 underdogs.

But the Padres have been tough on the road, winning 58.3% of their games as road underdogs in 2024.

The pitching matchup adds even more intrigue to this game.

For the Padres, Yu Darvish will take the mound after a stellar Game 2 performance where he allowed just one run over seven innings. Darvish has been solid in recent postseason starts, posting a 2.56 ERA in his last six playoff appearances.

Meanwhile, the Dodgers will send Yoshinobu Yamamoto to the mound in the series finale.

Yamamoto has faced the Padres three times in his rookie campaign, and his results haven’t been impressive. In his MLB debut on March 21 in Korea, he allowed five runs on four hits in just one inning of work. His second start came on April 12, where he gave up three earned runs over five innings.

In Game 1 of the NLDS, Yamamoto struggled again, surrendering five earned runs and five hits in three innings. Despite his rough outing, the Dodgers managed to secure a 7-5 comeback victory in front of the home crowd.

The first pitch is 5:08 p.m. Pacific Time at Dodger Stadium.

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