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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions
By Corey Scott,
3 hours ago
The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-44) and San Diego Padres (57-51) open a 2-game set at Petco Park Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padresodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 5-3
The Dodgers avoided a 3-game sweep at the Houston Astros over the weekend, wrapping up the series with a 6-2 win as +120 underdogs Sunday with the Under (8.5) barely hitting. RHP River Ryan fanned 8 in his 1st MLB win for the Dodgers, who hit 3 HRs in the series finale.
The Padres won 2 of 3 games at the Baltimore Orioles for their 3rd straight series win. They lost 8-6 as +121 underdogs in the Sunday finale as the Over (9) easily cashed. The loss ended a 7-game Padres win streak.
Dodgers at Padres projected starters
RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Matt Waldron
Glasnow (8-6, 3.47 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and an MLB-leading 11.6 K/9 in 114 IP.
Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 8-3 home defeat vs. San Francisco Giants Wednesday
2024 road stats: 2-2, 3.26 ERA (47 IP, 17 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 12.6 K/9 in 8 starts
2024 vs. Padres: 0-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 0.75 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 2 starts
Career vs. Padres: 0-0, 2.12 ERA (17 IP, 4 ER), 0.71 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 5 appearances (2 starts)
Waldron (6-9, 3.64 ERA) makes his 22nd start. The rookie has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 118 2/3 IP.
Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 12-3 victory at Washington Nationals Wednesday
2024 home stats: 2-5, 4.33 ERA (52 IP, 25 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 9 starts
Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 2 starts this year
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Padres +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Padres 4
The DODGERS (-155) had won 6 of 7 heading into the Astros series, and although they dropped 2 of 3 games at Houston, they were underdogs in all 3 due to pitching mismatches. The Dodgers have won 4 of Glasnow’s last 5 starts, while the Padres have lost 4 of Waldron’s last 5.
BET DODGERS (-155).
The Padres have won 7 of 8, and San Diego +1.5 (-135) will probably hit, but backing Waldron to keep it close against the 4th-best offense in MLB this season seems risky.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Waldron has allowed 3 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts, and Glasnow has given up 2 or more in 4 straight. The Dodgers have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games, while the Padres have put up 4 or more in 5 of their last 6.
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