James Carville Warns Democrats: Kamala Harris Has to Win By THREE Points to Beat Trump

James Carville warned Democrats that Kamala Harris needs to beat former President Donald Trump by three points nationally to win the presidency in November.

During a Friday airing of Real Time With Bill Maher , the seasoned Democratic strategist explained that polling showing that Harris is way ahead of the GOP nominee may be deceiving because traditionally Trump has “chronically under polled.”

According to the Real Clear Politics average , Harris is ahead of Trump nationally by less than two points, but Trump leads Harris in multiple key swings on average, including Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Georgia.

Maher asked Carville how much “faith” he has in polls showing that Harris is beating Trump in the battleground states.

MAHER: James, how much faith are you putting in polls that show Harris is ahead in key states and nationwide?

CARVILLE: So let me say this August is a great Democratic month. We hell on wheels come August…The idea is to be good in November, and I challenge Democrats with some caution here. First of all, most say we have to win by three in the popular vote to win the Electoral College. So when you see a poll that says we two up. Well, that’s actually, you’re one down. If the poll was correct.  Other thing is Trump traditionally when he’s on the ballot chronically under polls. All right. And sort of came back late in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania in 2020. And it showed Biden winning these state by 7-8 points.

MAHER: Under polls meaning Trump is going to do better than the polling shows.

CARVILLE: I’m saying traditionally he under polls, traditionally.

MAHER: Means he’s going to do better in the election because people are too ashamed to tell a pollster they’re going to vote for him.

CARVILLE: I don’t know but I’m just saying traditionally with Trump on the ballot…Democrats who said, oh, James, a Debbie Downer. What’s he talking about? I’m not just telling you got to win by three.

Watch the clip above via HBO’s Real Time.