Heavy rain across the Gulf Coast from Florida to Texas as a tropical cyclone could form this week.

Photo byweather prediction center

This week is going be one where attention shifts to the Central and Western Gulf States from Texas to Louisiana, Mississippi, Arkansas, and into Western Tennessee. We are going to see a potential tropical system developing during next week in the Western Gulf of Mexico and head north and northeastward. This is going to create heavy flooding rains in the states mentioned above.

Photo byweather prediction center

In stark contrast to the heavy rains in the Gulf States, we have late summer weather and no rain at all for much of the Northeast and Northern Mid Atlantic states from Southeast Virginia up the coastal plain to Maine. This area will see late summer weather beginning Tuesday as highs reach back into the 80s and will reach the mid to upper 80s Wednesday through Friday.

Photo byTropical Tidbits

In fact this weather pattern of dry in the Northeast and Northern Mid Atlantic and wet across the Gulf States into Florida and the Southeast will likley last all of this week and continue well into next week. High pressure remains firmly anchored over the Northeast and Mid Atlantic states while a tropical flow on and old frontal boundary continues to sit off the US Southeast coast and and back into the Gulf of Mexico. Low pressure is forecast to form in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico and move north and northeast. It could become a tropical depression or tropical storm in the process. The pattern would suggest heavy rain for the Texas coast and that heavy rain spreading northward into the Lower Mississippi Valley later this week.