2024 Ally 400 odds, picks and predictions

The NASCAR Cup Series Nashville Superspeedway Sunday for the 2024 Ally 400. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3:30 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Ally 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Ally 400: What you need to know

• Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin is on the pole for Sunday’s race in Nashville with a best qualifying speed of 160.354 mph
• Stewart-Haas Racing driver Josh Berry will start on the outside of Row 1 after turning in a best qualifying speed of 159.749 mph. His previous best starting position was 3rd at Iowa
• Hendrick Motorsports Kyle Larson is the top Chevrolet in the starting grid, going off 4th on Sunday. Larson won the inaugural NASCAR Cup Series race in Nashville in 2021
• Hendrick’s Chase Elliott took home the hardware in 2022 at Nashville, but he has had mixed results in the track’s 3 Cup races, finishing 1st, 4th and 39th
• JGR’s Christopher Bell has never finished higher than 7th in a Cup race at Nashville, but he has also never ended up lower than 9th
• Team Penske driver Ryan Blaney has been feast or famine at Nashville, posting a 3rd-place finish with 2 DNFs and a 25.3 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
• Larson and Ross Chastain are the only 2 active drivers to finish 5th or better in all 3 previous Nashville Cup races
• Chase Briscoe, who is headed for JGR next season, has had a devil of a time at Nashville in the past. He has 3 Cup starts at Nashville, finishing 31st, 31st and 34th with 1 DNF
• Hendrick’s Alex Bowman has struggled over the years at Nashville, posting a 22.3 AFP in 3 Cup starts

2024 Ally 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:43 a.m. ET.

KYLE LARSON (+400) has the 2nd shortest odds to win the race — only behind Hamlin (+375). As mentioned, Larson and Chastain are the only 2 drivers who have posted top-5 finishes in all 3 NASCAR Cup Series starts at Nashville Superspeedway.

Larson has managed a 3.3 AFP, posting a win, a 4th and a 5th-place with a Nashville-best 264 laps led. He has qualified well, and he has finished even better. His Average Starting Position is 5.0, and he is one better this Sunday, going off 4th.

2024 Ally 400 – Contender

Again, ROSS CHASTAIN (+1400) is one of just 2 drivers to finish in the top 5 in each of the 3 NASCAR Cup Series Nashville races.

Chastain started the season a bit slow, but he has picked up the pace lately. He turned in a 10th-place finish at New Hampshire last time out, and he has been 12th or better in each of his past 6 NASCAR Cup Series starts.

2024 Ally 400 – Prop Bets

In a Matchbet, CHASE ELLIOTT (+145) vs. Hamlin (-190) is worth a roll of the dice. All Elliott has to do is finish higher than Hamlin.

Elliott has a win at Nashville, and he also has a pair of top-5 finishes. There is risk, as Elliott goes off 13th, while Hamlin is on the pole. However, we don’t have to worry about any of the other drivers.

While Elliott’s 18th-place finish at New Hampshire last week was a bummer, especially since he started on the pole, he has finished 7th or better in 8 of his past 12 Cup races. He is slowly starting to show signs of his pre-injury dominant self.

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