The average Indian woman was having only two children over her reproductive lifetime, the Indian government reported in 2021 , well below the 2.25 or so needed to sustain the current population.
The same story is being repeated all over the world, as birthrates in Latin America, the Middle East, and even Africa are not just falling — they are collapsing.
The last time the world saw such a massive decline in population was during the ‘Black Death’ era of the 16th century, according to reports. Getty Images
The result of all of these empty wombs is that humanity just passed a major milestone, although not one we should celebrate.
Because of ever-lengthening life spans, the population will continue to grow until mid-century. But when this demographic momentum ends—and it will end—we will reach a second grim milestone on humanity’s downward trajectory:
Despite the mass death caused by the plague, the global population was able to recover because of high birth rates. Werner Forman Archive
For the first time since the Black Death in the Middle Ages, human numbers will decline.
The 14th century Bubonic Plague was the worst pandemic in human history. It killed off half the population of Europe and perhaps a third of the population of the Middle East.
But even as the plague was filling mass graves, the survivors kept filling cradles. And because the birth rate remained high the global population recovered, although it took a century or so.
This time around, we may not be so fortunate. All of the factors that influence fertility, from marriage rates to urbanization to education levels, are pushing births downward.
Myriad United Nations agencies have helped to perpetuate the population panic and a false believe that the world is becoming over-populated. Getty Images/Tetra images RF
Now you may be excused for not knowing about the current birth dearth.
After all, powerful international agencies like the UN Population Fund and the World Bank have done their best to keep it out of the public eye.
Moreover, these agencies, set up during the height of the hysteria over “overpopulation” in the 1960s, like to overestimate births in one country, and pad population numbers in another.
For example, the UN, in its annual World Population Prospects, claims that 705,000 babies were born in Colombia last year, when the country’s own government pegs the number at just 510,000.
Neither is the UN’s claim that Indian women are still averaging 2.25 children, defying the country’s own published statistics, which show that it is now below 2.0.
The population problem is complicated in Asia by an overabundance of men at the expense of woman — a result of decades of sex-selection abortions. Odua Images – stock.adobe.com
All this number fudging allows the UN to claim that the global total fertility rate last year was at 2.25, still above replacement
It’s even wrong about replacement rate fertility, which it says is 2.1 children per women.
It’s wrong because in many countries sex-selection abortion skews the sex ratio strongly in favor of boys.
To make up for the tens of millions of unborn baby girls missing in China, India and other Asian countries, those countries need more need 2.2 or even 2.3 children on average.
The UN exaggerates human numbers for the same reason that the Biden-Harris administration exaggerates employment numbers: for financial gain and political survival.
In India, as well, declining population numbers are likely far more severe than have been reported. Acknowledging this reality will go a long way to finding a real solution. AFP via Getty Images
There are billions of dollars at stake, funding that is fueled by a dark fear of mushrooming human numbers.
The population control movement does not intend to go quietly to its grave, even as it continues to dig humanity’s own, so it feeds this fear.
But the world’s population is not only not exploding, it’s on the cusp of collapsing. Which is why it’s time to end the war on population.
Steven W. Mosher is the president of the Population Research Institute and the author of “The Devil and Communist China” (Tan Books).
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