To be eligible for nomination at the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards, the project had to have aired between June 1, 2023, and May 31, 2024.
That’s why “House of the Dragon” isn’t included, no matter how buzzy it was on social media.
This year’s shows that stand to win big include “The Bear,” freshman dystopian romp “Fallout,” historical epic “Shogun” and several big shows that ended, such as “The Crown” and “Curb Your Enthusiasm.”
Here are my predictions for who will go home with gold statuettes.
Winner: “The Crown.” It’s not necessarily the most deserving show on the list, as it had an uneven final season that clumsily handled Princess Diana’s death . But this show has been an institution in drama television, and this is the last chance to honor it. The Emmys will want to give in a good send-off for its swan song.
Winner: This one is tough to predict, because “The Bear” has been sweeping awards shows ever since it premiered in 2022. But, Hollywood also loves shows that poke fun at their own industry, like “Curb Your Enthusiasm.” And this is the last chance to honor that show. I predict that “The Bear” will win — it’s not the most deserving show on the list, and it’s not even a comedy. Nevertheless, Tinseltown thinks “The Bear” is the best thing since sliced bread, and I don’t see that changing. I also predict that viewers on X (formerly Twitter) will be angry that the winner wasn’t “Curb.”
Winner: This one could be a dark horse. The Emmys might want to recognize West, since “The Crown” is over. But Walton Goggins made a splash with his colorful performance in “Fallout,” as he simultaneously played an earnest, old-fashioned hero and a swaggering villain. Plus, Goggins has been a stellar TV actor for many years , bringing pizzazz to a slew of memorable roles, but he’s never taken home a trophy. It’s time he got his flowers.
Anna Sawai as Toda Mariko in “Shōgun.” AP Anna Sawai in “Shōgun.” Actress in a Drama Series
Jennifer Aniston, “The Morning Show”
Carrie Coon, “The Gilded Age”
Maya Erskine, “Mr. & Mrs. Smith”
Anna Sawai, “Shōgun”
Imelda Staunton, “The Crown”
Reese Witherspoon, “The Morning Show”
Winner: Every year, there’s often a surprise win from a new show. So, while Imelda Staunton might be the obvious guess, as “The Crown” is on its way out, I predict Anna Sawai will be this year’s “surprise newcomer” win. Sawai delivered a strong performance in “Shōgun.” I think that show will get shut out of the other categories it’s up for, as “The Crown” gets one last round of attention and “Fallout” makes a splash as the most colorful newcomer. But this could be the category where “Shōgun” breaks through.
Jeremy Allen White as Carmy in “The Bear.” FX Networks Actor in a Comedy Series
Matt Berry, “What We Do in the Shadows”
Larry David, “Curb Your Enthusiasm”
Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building”
Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building”
Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear”
D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai, “Reservation Dogs”
Winner: Jeremy Allen White. Matt Berry should win, as his performance in “What We Do in the Shadows” is hilarious, and he’s never gotten the recognition he deserves. D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai would also be an excellent and well-deserved choice, as he’s been a promising young talent, and this is his last chance to take home a gold statuette, since “Reservation Dogs” is over. But the award shows love showering White with trophies. Chances are low that it won’t be “The Bear” star.
Jeremy Allen White as Carmy and Ayo Edebiri as Sydney in “The Bear.” FX Networks Actress in a Comedy Series
Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary”
Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear”
Selena Gomez, “Only Murders in the Building”
Maya Rudolph, “Loot”
Jean Smart, “Hacks”
Kristen Wiig, “Palm Royale”
Winner: Ayo Edebiri. The Emmys and Golden Globes adore “The Bear,” and Edebiri has also charmed audiences and the Television Academy voters alike in the past with her earnest and flustered acceptance speeches. There’s a chance that Jean Smart could edge her out, but odds are it will be Edebiri.
The 2024 Emmys ceremony will be broadcast live on ABC at 8 p.m. on Sunday, Sept. 15, from the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles.
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