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Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: NFL sleepers, breakouts, busts by model that nailed Deebo Samuel's tough year
By CBS Sports Staff,
2024-06-03
USATSI
The Miami Dolphins featured the most potent offense in the NFL last season, averaging 401.3 yards per game. Wide receiver Tyreek Hill is expected to be among the top 2024 Fantasy football picks this season, but where will players like Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert land in the 2024 Fantasy football rankings? Tagovailoa led the NFL with 4,624 passing yards last season, while Mostert led the league with 18 rushing touchdowns. Can Tagovailoa or Mostert lead you to a Fantasy football 2024 championship, or should you look elsewhere for productivity when starting your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep?
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Saints quarterback Derek Carr. Carr finished the 2023 season averaging just the 24th-most Fantasy points per game at QB in his first season in New Orleans.
However, he finished as a top-12 QB six times last season, including three of the last four Saints games. New Orleans featured a top-12 passing offense in 2023 and he has some serious weapons in Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave, who are capable of big plays anytime they touch the ball. SportsLine's model ranks Carr ahead of fellow quarterbacks like Tua Tagovailoa, Deshaun Watson and Matthew Stafford, all of whom are being drafted ahead of him. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here .
Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid. The former Utah standout was a first round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, and is viewed by many as a wide receiver in a tight end's body. As a rookie, Kincaid hauled in 73 passes for 673 yards and two touchdowns.
The 24-year-old is in line for an even bigger role in his second professional season. Buffalo dealt wide receiver Stefon Diggs during the offseason, sending the All-Pro wide receiver to the Houston Texans in a move that could elevate Kincaid to the No. 1 option in Buffalo's high-powered offensive attack. At 6-foot-4 and 240 pounds, Kincaid is a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses, and he plays with a quarterback in Josh Allen who can push the ball downfield as well as anyone in the NFL. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here .
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. Rodgers' first season in New York didn't go as planned. The veteran signal-caller suffered a torn left Achilles four snaps into his first game with the Jets. While he's certainly one of the most recognizable quarterbacks in the league, Rodgers hasn't been the most productive Fantasy football quarterback when healthy.
In fact, he threw 26 or fewer touchdown passes in four of his last six seasons with the Packers. Plus, Rodgers has thrown only one pass in an NFL game in the past 18 months, a major reason why the model is warning Fantasy owners to steer clear of the future Hall of Famer. The model ranks Rodgers outside the top 20 quarterbacks in its 2024 Fantasy football QB rankings, making him one of the top 2024 Fantasy football busts to avoid on draft day. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings
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