Biden Pulls Ahead of Trump in FiveThirtyEight Average of Polls For First Time in Months

President Joe Biden pulled ahead of former President Donald Trump in FiveThirtyEight’s latest average of polls with the president leading in the last five national polls measured.

Biden posted only a 0.1% lead over his presumptive opponent in November, according to FiveThirtyEight data averages, but the five latest June polls measured — from YouGov, Morning Consult, Fox News, and others — have Biden leading by either one or two points.

Biden is currently averaging 40.6% support while Trump is pulling 40.5%. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is meanwhile averaging just under 10%. It’s the first time Biden has led Trump in months. The former president had a lead of 0.8% in May and 2.1% in April.

More than 50% disapprove of both candidates. According to polling, 41.5% have a favorable opinion of Trump while 53.8% do not. For the president, 38.7% approve of his performance while 55.9% disapprove.

Trump’s recent polling leads over Biden have led to other concerns and debates among commentators, including whether Biden is losing support from a significant amount of Black voters. CNN’s Harry Enten marveled recently about a collection of polls finding Trump had tripled his support among Black voters since 2020, from 9% to 21%. Biden had meanwhile seen his support dip slightly from 86% to 70%.

Biden and Trump are scheduled next week for the first debate , which will air Thursday on CNN from Atlanta. Kennedy Jr. did not meet the requirements to make the debate stage.