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MLB home run props for 6/26: Soto's the man tonight vs. Mets
By Jack Dougherty,
3 days ago
New York Yankees right fielder Juan Soto (22) follows through on a solo home run against the New York Mets.
We struck out (no pun intended) in home run props on Tuesday, but our favorite pick in Matt Olson got rained out. Let's cash our first winner of the week with three HR props for Wednesday's MLB slate.
One pitcher we're interested in fading on Wednesday night is Toronto Blue Jays starter Yariel Rodriguez. Rodriguez is giving up a 42.3 percent hard-hit rate and a 90.4-mph average exit velocity, and the wind at Fenway Park is projected to blow out to right-center field. Valdez is batting .360 and slugging .640 with a team-high 200 wRC+ against righties over the last two weeks. All six of his home runs this year have come off righties and been to right field, so he's a solid option here.
Hernandez is in a bit of a power slump with just one home run and a .182 batting average over the last 15 days, but this matchup against Erick Fedde might be just what he needs to snap out of it. In four career at-bats against Fedde, Hernandez is 3-4 with two homers. It's a tiny sample size, sure, but the Los Angeles Dodgers slugger clearly sees the ball well out of Fedde's hand.
New York Mets starter Sean Manaea has surrendered at least one home run in five of his last six starts, and we expect that streak to continue against the Bronx Bombers with the wind projected to blow strongly out to left-center field. Aaron Judge's price is too small, so let's roll with Juan Soto instead. Soto has actually been better against lefties than righties this season, and he's slugging .591 with a 214 wRC+ against lefties this month.
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