MLB home run props for 6/28: Big hitter, bigger price on Shohei

Bryce Harper was so close to giving us a home run prop winner on Thursday, but his first-inning drive to center field flew 400 feet when it needed to fly 402. Pain.

Let's bounce back and finish the week strong with our three favorite HR bets of Friday's MLB slate.

Bobby Witt Jr. (+360 FanDuel )

Guardians at Royals, 8:10 p.m. ET

Friday's matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the Cleveland Guardians looks ripe for home runs. Not only is the wind projected to blow strongly out to left-center field, but Guardians starter Triston McKenzie is giving up the highest barrel rate and the second-highest fly-ball rate in MLB among qualified pitchers. He's surrendered 11 home runs in his last six starts, including three to the Kansas City Royals earlier this month. Witt just happened to smash two of those homers, so he clearly loves facing off against McKenzie.

Steven Kwan (+1200 FanDuel )

Guardians at Royals, 8:10 p.m. ET

The hitter-friendly weather in Kansas City is too good to ignore, so we're doubling down on this game. Royals starter Alec Marsh ranks in the 17th percentile in barrel rate and 23rd percentile in hard-hit rate, so he's another solid fade target with this helping wind. Let's roll with Steven Kwan, who isn't known as a power hitter but leads the Guardians in slugging percentage against righties (.580) this season. Kwan is batting .386 and slugging .773 against righties over the last three weeks, so he's well worth a sprinkle at this price.

Shohei Ohtani (+520 FanDuel )

Dodgers at Giants, 10:15 p.m. ET

It's not often you get to bet Ohtani at better than +500, so take advantage of the opportunity when you can. This price is so high because Oracle Park is the toughest stadium to hit home runs in this year, and San Francisco Giants starter Logan Webb is effective at keeping the ball out of the air. We'll still take a chance on the hottest power hitter in MLB, as Ohtani is batting .419 and slugging a ridiculous 1.047 over the last 15 days.