Euro 2024: Switzerland vs. Italy odds, picks and predictions

Switzerland battles Italy in the Round of 16 of Euro 2024 from Olympiastadion Berlin Saturday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (FS1). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Switzerland vs. Italy odds, and make our best Euro 2024 bets, picks and predictions.

Italy, the nation that hoisted the Euro 2020 trophy, beat Albania 2-1 to open up its tournament play. Italy then lost 1-0 to Spain June 20 and drew Croatia 1-1 Monday. Italy is led by M Jorginho, who has been a staple of the Chelsea midfield for years. Italy, which went 3-1-0 (wins, draws, losses) through its four 2024 friendlies, finished 2nd in a difficult Group B. Italy is 10th in the FIFA World Rankings.

Switzerland is ranked 19th. It finished 2nd in Group A, ending with 5 goals for and 3 against. It opened up its Euro 2024 play with a 3-1 win over Hungary. It then drew both Scotland and Germany 1-1. The main man leading the charge is M Granit Xhaka, who played for Bayer Leverkusen, the Bundesliga winner this past season. Switzerland was 2-2-0 in its four 2024 games prior to the tournament.

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Switzerland vs. Italy odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:34 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Switzerland +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Italy +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Draw +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
• Over/Under: 1.5 (O: -182 | U: +148)

Switzerland vs. Italy picks and predictions

Prediction

Italy 1, Switzerland 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET DRAW (+180).

The best play in this match is a full-time draw. Both teams played up to the level of their competition in the group stage and also down to the level of their competition.

Both sides play at a similar pace and have technical excellence in the midfield which should result in few unbalanced counterattacks. Switzerland has drawn 3 of its last 4 games and 4 of its last 7. Italy has drawn 3 of its last 8 and 2 of its last 5.

Considering those trends, expecting overtime is the best play here. BACK DRAW (+180).

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Over/Under (O/U)

PASS.

There’s really not a great play here given the odds for Over 1.5 (-182) and for Under 2.5 (-220).

Neither of those are playable. The preferred total play is Under 1.5 goals at +148, but the Draw (+180) at 1-1 is the better option. Given neither side really performed well against the top-finishing nation in their respective group (Germany in Group A and Spain in Group B), there’s little hope that this is going to be a goal-filled match.

In those 2 matches (Switzerland vs. Germany and Italy vs. Spain), the side competing in this match had 3 or fewer shots on frame.

Switzerland and Italy both scored just 2 goals in 1 game against a team that did not advance. Neither has a potent offensive 9 to be that finishing touch. Both can possess and can play to the level of their competition. Without that dynamic finisher, expect limited goal scoring.

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