France has surrendered Euro 2024’s fewest goals – a single score via penalty kick – and meets a Spanish side that has scored the most through its first five tournament matches. A spot in Sunday’s European Championship final is at stake.
No French player has scored in open play during this tournament. In the knockout stage, France advanced past Belgium through an own goal by defender Jan Vertonghen and got past Portugal on penalties in the quarterfinals. In the group stage, France scored on an own goal against Austria and via penalty kick vs. Poland.
Spain has 11 goals in these Euros. Eight players have found the back of the net. Fabian Ruiz and Dani Olmo have two apiece. Mikel Merino played hero with a late header in the 119th minute against Germany off a cross from Olmo to eliminate the host nation and advance to their fourth semifinal round in the last five tournaments.
Spain has beaten France in 16 all-time meetings, lost 13 and tied seven times. It owns a 64-39 goal differential against the French.
Spain vs. France odds: Spread, moneyline, total for Euro 2024 semifinal
Here are live UEFA Euro 2024 betting odds for the Spain vs. France semifinal match at top-rated US sportsbooks.
The French are +105 to advance to the final, while the Spaniards are -133 to prevail inside Munich's Allianz Arena on Tuesday.
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France betting news and analysis
Star striker Kylian Mbappe has had a forgettable tournament, struggling to get comfortable with the mask he’s been forced to wear after breaking his nose in France’s opener against Austria. He scored his nation’s lone goal via penalty kick against Poland but hasn’t been the dynamic difference-maker most expected we’d see.
Antoine Griezmann started ahead of Ousmane Dembele against Portugal but may be replaced by a stronger counter-attacking threat. Head coach Didier Deschamps anticipates Spain looking to push forward and control possession.
Spain betting news and analysis
Spain matched Germany with a Euro 2024-high 11th goal through Merino’s late winner in extra time and has outscored opponents 11-2. Yellow card accumulation will sideline defenders Dani Carvajal and Robin Le Normand. Striker Alvaro Morata had a yellow card rescinded and will be able to play, but midfielder Pedri is unavailable to head coach Luis de la Fuente after suffering a knee injury. Olmo is expected to start, but Spain’s depth will be tested.
Spain vs. France prop bets
Here is a sampling of Spain vs. France prop bets from FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Both teams to score: Yes +114, No -146
- Kylian Mbappe to score or assist: +170
- Alvaro Morata to score or assist: +180
- Halftime result: Spain +240, Draw -120, France +270
- Spain to Win, Spain Most Corners in Each Half & Spain Most Shots On Target in Each Half: +2600
- Each Team to Have 3+ Corners in Each Half: +2700
Three of the four quarterfinals reached extra time, and you can nearly double your investment by betting a regulation draw, or you can pick a match winner and greatly increase your potential windfall if correct. At Caesars Sportsbook, backing Spain to win in extra time pays +1000. France to win in extra time pays +1100. Correctly backing either to advance via penalty kicks pays +900.
Mbappe is deemed the most likely goal scorer ( ), while Morata is the favorite to score for Spain( ). Ferran Torres, Mikel Oyarzabal, Joselu and Ayoze Perez are all at +320 for La Furia Roja, while Olmo and 16-year-old Lamine Yamal are +380. Nico Williams, who has scored and generated lots of danger with his speed and skill, is +425.
Olivier Giroud (+320), Marcus Thuram (+400), Randal Kolo Muani (+425), Griezmann (+450) and Dembele (+525) are the top goal-scoring options for France behind Mbappe.
Spain vs. France prediction: Mbappe to score and Les Bleus to advance
Mbappe is a force, keeper Mike Maignan has been a wall, and you can cover all bases by backing France to advance in regulation, extra time or via PKs at plus-money. Les Bleus has disappointed due to its lack of scoring but has made it this far as it looks to match Germany and Spain with three European Championships.
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