Storms, beneficial rains arrive midweek after hot start to week

Tonight features an isolated shower risk early, with partly to mostly clear skies for the remainder of the overnight with temperatures dipping back into the mid 60s. It’s a quiet summertime night in store for the two Virginias.

Tuesday is dry to start and the temperature will crank quickly! We’ll see plenty of sunshine through the mid afternoon with temperatures jumping into the low 90s and heat index values spiking into the low to mid 90s.

By the late afternoon, an isolated strong storm is possible. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted our West Virginia counties under a level one marginal risk for severe weather, with damaging wind gusts being the primary threat. Again, storms will be isolated in nature, so most of us will remain dry and hot with highs in the low 90s. A cold front will begin to approach our region during the overnight hours and will begin to provide an increased risk for scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder, with low temperatures in the upper 60s.

Wednesday finally provides some much needed beneficial rain to the region, as a cold front slides through the region. With cloud cover being widespread and scattered showers and storms being numerous, our severe weather threat will be limited. With that being said, the potential is there for locally heavy rainfall and the Weather Prediction Center has highlighted our area under a level one marginal risk for flooding – considering how dry we’ve been over the last several weeks, this threat overall is low. Expect a half inch to an inch of rain widespread for the area with locally heavier amounts likely with the passing of this front. The clouds will hold temperatures down a bit, as high temperatures dip back into the mid 80s.

Thursday keeps the risk for a scattered shower or two around with our cold front down across the New River Valley in Virginia in the morning and an area of low pressure moving along that front in that vicinity. This will keep the clouds and a few showers around in the morning with afternoon clearing. By the afternoon, the weather will be fantastic, with clearing skies and temperatures in the mid 70s – it’s been a little while since we’ve had below average temperatures! Temperatures Thursday night will dip back into the mid 50s in what will be a very comfortable night as high pressure noses in.

Friday provides plenty of sunshine with high pressure up to our north across the Great Lakes being the dominant weather pattern feature in our neck of the woods. Wednesday’s cold front will still be across the Carolinas and an isolated shower can’t be ruled out in our southern counties in the afternoon – however, most of us will be dry with comfortable temperatures with highs in the upper 70s.

Saturday sees Wednesday’s cold front lift back up to the north toward our area. The exact positioning of how far north this front scoots toward our region will determine our chances for rain. A farther north trek gives us a better chance for rain. For now though, the front looks to stall once again over the New River Valley in Virginia and provide isolated to widely scattered showers and storms. Severe weather is not expected, with highs around 80.

Sunday provides dry conditions with partly to mostly sunny conditions expected as a stronger area of high pressure noses down into the Great Lakes from Canada. This will nudge our pesky cold front farther down to the south back into the Carolinas, keep the wet weather away. We’ll see high temperatures in the mid 80s.

Monday continues the see-saw pattern of stationary front nudging, as this front looks to lift back to the north to the Virginia/North Carolina border. This will be close enough to give us the risk for an isolated shower or two in the afternoon with highs in the upper 80s – there will be a lot of dry time!

Looking ahead in your extended forecast, it’s an unsettled pattern that will continue to provide opportunities for beneficial rains as a couple of waves of low pressure ride along the aforementioned stalled frontal boundary. The proximity of this front to our region will be key in determining rainfall chances – we’ll likely see at least a few isolated showers Tuesday with better chances for storms Wednesday into Thursday with another low pressure system scooting through. High temperatures will drop from the mid to upper 80s on Tuesday back to around 80 on Wednesday and Thursday with more clouds and showers around.

TONIGHT
Isolated shower early, otherwise mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.
TUESDAY
Isolated strong PM storms. Partly cloudy. Highs in the low 90s.
WEDNESDAY
Scattered showers and storms likely. Highs in the mid 80s.
THURSDAY
Morning showers, afternoon clearing. Cooler. Highs in the mid 70s.
FRIDAY
Partly sunny, isolated PM storm. Highs near 80.
SATURDAY
Scattered storms. Plenty of breaks. Highs near 80.
SUNDAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
MONDAY
Isolated storms. Highs in the upper 80s.
TUESDAY
Isolated storms. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
WEDNESDAY
Scattered storms. Highs around 80.
THURSDAY
Scattered storms. Highs around 80.

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