2024 Open Championship odds, predictions: Scottie Scheffler projection by golf model that called last 3 majors

The competition couldn't be more fierce heading into the 2024 Open Championship, which tees off Thursday from Royal Troon Golf Club in Scotland. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler has already one major win on the season and will try to become the first golfer since Rory McIlroy in 2014 to win two majors in a season. Speaking of McIlroy, he is looking for his first major win in a decade and is coming off a disappointing finish at the U.S. Open. The disappointment spelled victory for Bryson DeChambeau, who is also in the 2024 Open Championship field. Scheffler is the 4-1 favorite in the latest Open Championship odds, followed by McIlroy (8-1) and DeChambeau (9-1).

Ludvig Aberg, looking for his first major victory, is 9-1 to win the Open Championship 2024. Before locking in any 2024 Open Championship picks or Scottie Scheffler props, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters -- its third Masters in a row -- and this year's PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now with the Open Championship 2024 field taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Open Championship predictions

One surprise: Hideki Matsuyama, a 40-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. RThe 32-year-old became Japan's first-ever major champion when he won the 2021 Masters and a win at the Genesis Invitational earlier this year now makes him a nine-time PGA Tour winner.

Matsuyama is currently ranked No. 14 in the Official World Golf Ranking and he was solo-sixth in his last major championship appearance at the U.S. Open. He ranks seventh on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained (1.283) and a buttery short game should help him out of tight spots at Royal Troon. Matsuyama ranks first in strokes gained: around-the-green (.819).

The model has also examined where Scottie Scheffler (+400) finishes at the 2024 Open Championship. It's easy to see why the world No. 1 is the betting favorite to lift the Claret Jug since he has 13 top-10 finishes on his 2024 campaign. He has won six events this season, including his second Masters earlier this season.

Scheffler surprised golf fans when he finished T41 at the U.S. Open, his only finish of the season outside of the top 20. However, he rebounded with a runner-up finish at the Travelers Championship after Tom Kim bested him by one stroke in a playoff. He enters the British Open 2024 leading the PGA Tour in multiple categories including total strokes gained (2.760), scoring average (67.78), birdie average (4.98) and putting average (1.687). The model just locked in its Scottie Scheffler Open Championship picks here.

How to make 2024 Open Championship picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. McClure's best bets also include a massive triple-digit underdog. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here .

Who will win the 2024 Open Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the British Open 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2024 Open Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and all three this year .

2024 Open Championship odds, field

Get full 2024 Open Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 4-1
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Bryson DeChambeau 9-1
Ludvig Aberg 9-1
Collin Morikawa 10-1
Xander Schauffele 13-1
Tommy Fleetwood 20-1
Jon Rahm 22-1
Viktor Hovland 22-1
Brooks Koepka 25-1
Tyrrell Hatton 25-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Cameron Smith 30-1
Tom Kim 33-1
Wyndham Clark 33-1
Shane Lowry 35-1
Tony Finau 35-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Hideki Maysuyama 40-1
Robert MacIntyre 40-1
Jordan Spieth 40-1
Justin Thomas 40-1
Joaquin Niemann 45-1
Sahith Theegala 45-1
Sungjae Im 50-1
Max Homa 50-1
Min Woo Lee 55-1
Dustin Johnson 55-1
Cameron Young 55-1
Dean Burmester 60-1
Brian Harman 60-1
Sam Burns 60-1
Will Zalatoris 65-1
Corey Conners 65-1
Aaron Rai 65-1
Sepp Straka 70-1
Byeong Hun An 70-1
Akshay Bhatia 75-1
Adam Scott 75-1
Nicolai Hojgaard 80-1
Patrick Reed 85-1
Justin Rose 90-1
Louis Oosthuizen 90-1
Talor Gooch 100-1
Davis Thompson 100-1
Abraham Ancer 100-1
Russell Henley 125-1
Mattieu Pavon 125-1
Si Woo Kim 125-1
Rickie Fowler 125-1
Keegan Bradley 125-1
Sebastian Soderberg 125-1
Alex Noren 125-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125-1
Rasmus Højgaard 150-1
David Puig 150-1
Phil Mickelson 150-1
Adam Hadwin 150-1
Keith Mitchell 150-1
Tiger Woods 150-1
John Catlin 150-1
J.T. Poston 150-1
Tom McKibbin 150-1
Billy Horschel 175-1
Harris English 175-1
Denny McCarthy 175-1
Marc Leishman 175-1
Kurt Kitayama 175-1
Keita Nakajima 175-1
Lucas Glover 175-1
Adrian Meronk 175-1
Ryan Fox 175-1
Seamus Power 200-1
Tom Huge 200-1
Victory Perez 200-1
Jordan Smith 200-1
Stephen Jaeger 200-1
Eric Cole 200-1
Aaron Wise 200-1
Davis Riley 200-1
Henrik Stenson 200-1
Thorbjorn Olsen 200-1
Daniel Berger 200-1
Yannik Paul 200-1
Sam Horsfield 200-1
Austin Eckroat 200-1