Trump favorability surges as majority of voters want Biden to end 2024 bid

Former President Donald Trump ’s favorability rating has surged in the wake of the assassination attempt against him last weekend, according to a new poll showing the public effect of the historic near-miss shooting.

Trump’s favorability rose to 40%, his highest in four years, with 51% still viewing him unfavorably, according to a new ABC/Ipsos poll. This follows a close call with a shooter at the July 13 rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, and his record-breaking long speech Thursday evening at the Republican National Convention .

Meanwhile, President Joe Biden 's favorability remains at 32%, with 55% holding an unfavorable view. Concerns about Biden’s age and cognitive abilities after a recent debate have led 60% of Democrats to suggest he step aside. Surprisingly, 44% of Republicans, versus 39% of Democrats, believe Biden should continue his campaign, seeing him as an easier opponent.

Overall, three in five voters believe that Biden should end his campaign , according to the poll.

The poll indicates that 55% would be dissatisfied with Biden as the Democratic nominee, while 58% of Democrats would be content. Additionally, 15% of the public view both Trump and Biden unfavorably.

Trump is seen as more capable of uniting the country than Biden, with 38% favoring Trump and 31% favoring Biden. However, 46% of people blame Trump more for the risk of politically motivated violence, compared to 27% who blame Biden.

Among potential Democratic candidates, Vice President Kamala Harris holds the highest favorability at 35%. Harris is favored by 55% of Black Americans and 38% of Hispanic Americans, whereas Biden’s favorability among these groups is 49% and 35%, and Trump’s is 15% and 37%.

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The poll also assessed Trump’s vice presidential pick, Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH), who has a 25% favorability rating, with 43% of respondents undecided. About 35% rated Trump’s selection of Vance positively.

The ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted from July 19-20, 2024, using a random national sample of 1,141 U.S. adults, with a margin of error of 3.1 points.