Trump leads 50%-43%, no Harris bump

So much for the expected polling bump for Vice President Kamala Harris.

In three surveys since she became the presumptive Democratic nominee for president, Harris has failed to overtake former President Donald Trump as his campaign feared would happen.

Instead, the race remains where it has been for months, with Trump leading Harris both in new national head-to-head and battleground state surveys.

Just out is the latest Rasmussen Reports poll shared with Secrets and taken over the past three nights. It shows Trump leading Harris with likely voters 50%-43%, well outside the margin of error.

That is just a 1-point increase for Harris over Rasmussen’s last Biden-Trump head-to-head survey taken shortly before Biden bowed out of the 2024 race amid pressure from Democratic elites and the media to abandon his lifelong dream of being president out of fear he might lose to Trump.

Significantly, the new poll shows a massive 20-point gap among independent voters favoring Trump, 53%-33%. It does show a slight gain in Democratic voter support for Harris over Biden.

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Also, it shows Trump keeping his support solid with black and Hispanic voters as well as with younger voters. Some other surveys, including the just out Emerson College Polling/Hill newspaper battleground poll, showed younger voters trending to Harris.

When third-party candidates were included in Rasmussen's questioning, Trump kept his 7-point lead over Harris, 49%-42%. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. lost half of his support, dropping to 4% from 8%.