New Poll Shows Kamala Harris Leading Donald Trump While Others Show Her Narrowing Trump’s Lead

Source: The Washington Post / Getty

M any people would agree that Vice President Kamala Harris is a presidential long shot, not necessarily because she’s not a good candidate, but because she only has four months to convince voters that she’s the best candidate and she’s up against an opponent who has had two years to prepare. (And by “prepare,” I really just mean “lie, manipulate and espouse bigotry and willful ignorance to a bigoted and willfully ignorant constituency that loves to be lied to and manipulated.”)

But wouldn’t it be wild if Harris won?

Harris has only been a presidential prospect for about a week and already there’s at least one poll that has her with a slim lead over Donald Trump. The Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted on Monday and Tuesday has the presumptive Democratic nominee leading Trump 44% to 42%, a difference within the 3 percentage-point margin of error. Reuters noted that “Harris and Trump were tied at 44% in a July 15-16 poll, and Trump led by one percentage point in a July 1-2 poll, both within the same margin of error.”

To be sure, most polls have Trump ahead of Harris, but by slimmer margins than what Trump was leading President Joe Biden by leading up to Biden’s announcement that he was stepping aside and endorsing Harris as his replacement. In fact, a new CNN poll has Trump in the lead (49% to 46%), but it also shows Harris is gaining more Trump voters than Trump is gaining Biden voters.

From Newsweek :

Still, the poll found that 95 percent of Biden’s supporters are continuing to stick with Harris, while she is winning over 5 percent of Trump’s former supporters.

Trump is winning over a smaller number of Biden’s supporters, according to the poll. Three percent of those who previously backed Biden are now supporting Trump, who retained 92 percent of his past supporters.

Harris is winning 94 percent of Democrats, while Trump is winning 91 percent of Republicans . However, he continues to hold a narrow lead among independent voters (46 percent to 43 percent).

The poll, conducted from July 22 to 23, surveyed 1,631 registered voters who had previously participated in CNN surveys in April or June. Its margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Most polls don’t appear to have Harris trailing Trump by more than 3 percentage points, which is a glaring improvement from the abysmal polling data Biden was facing, which had Trump up by as many as 6 percentage points . In contrast, Trump leads Harris by two points (47% to 45%) in a Morning Consult poll, and by only one point (46% to 45%) in a NPR/PBS/Marist poll . An Economist/YouGov poll conducted Sunday to Tuesday showed Trump leading Harris 44% to 41%.

Again, we’re only a week in. Wouldn’t it be wild if she won? Wouldn’t it be the epitome of poetic irony if the MAGA world continued to flood the internet and media with blatantly racist and sexist attacks on Harris and it all backfired, resulting in Trump-humping troglodytes having to watch her ascension to the Oval Office?

Is a Harris victory still a long shot? Sure. But this race, at the very least, is getting interesting.

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