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Formula 1 picks, odds, time, grid: 2024 Belgian Grand Prix predictions, F1 best bets from advanced model
By CBS Sports Staff,
21 hours ago
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McLaren has been on the upswing for months now and after a 1-2 finish last week in Hungary, they'll head into the 2024 Belgian Grand Prix on Sunday at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps with more momentum than any other team in the 2024 Belgian Grand Prix starting grid. Last week's victory wasn't without drama, as Lando Norris was asked to stand down to allow his teammate, Oscar Piastri, to take the checkered flag. However, both put on a strong face for the media after the win and now Norris is the +125 favorite (bet $100 to win $125) in the 2024 Belgian Grand Prix odds.
Norris is the first driver in well over two calendar years to be favored over three-time defending world champion Max Verstappen (+200), while Piastri is third on the board at +650. The green flag will drop at 9 a.m. ET and this will be the final chance to bet Formula 1 before it goes on a month-long break following the race. Before analyzing the 2024 Belgian Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2024 Belgian GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model .
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of success in motorsports, correctly predicting 19 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.
The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory.
The model followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and then called all seven of the three-time defending champion's wins so far in the 2024 season. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen huge returns.
One surprise: The model is high on Yuki Tsunoda of RB Formula One Team, predicting a top-10 finish that would pay out at +300. Tsunoda is now in his fourth season driving for the team formerly known as Alpha Tauri and he's already matched a career-high with seven points finishes (top 10) over the first 13 races of the season. That includes a 10th-place finish at the British Grand Prix and a ninth-place finish at the Hungarian Grand Prix last weekend.
Tsunoda is currently 12th in the F1 standings, but he's only two points behind Aston Martin's Lance Stroll in 10th. He's improved in every start that he's made at Spa in his Formula 1 career, finishing 15th in 2021, 13th in 2022 and 10th last season. The model expects that trend to continue in 2024, predicting he finishes ninth for a comfortable plus-money payout. See more 2024 Belgian Grand Prix picks right here .
Lando Norris +125 Max Verstappen +200 Oscar Piastri +650 Lewis Hamilton +1100 George Russell +1100 Charles Leclerc +3300 Carlos Sainz +3300 Sergio Perez +4000 Fernando Alonso +25000 Lance Stroll +50000 Alexander Albon +50000 Nico Hulkenberg +50000 Daniel Ricciardo +50000 Yuki Tsunoda +50000 Guanyu Zhou +100000 Pierre Gasly +100000 Esteban Ocon +100000 Kevin Magnussen +100000 Valtteri Bottas +100000 Logan Sargeant +150000
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